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Long-term (180-Day) outcomes in critically Ill patients with COVID-19 in the REMAP-CAP randomized clinical trial

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Title: Long-term (180-Day) outcomes in critically Ill patients with COVID-19 in the REMAP-CAP randomized clinical trial
Authors: Florescu, S
Stanciu, D
Zaharia, M
Kosa, A
Codreanu, D
Kidwai, A
Masood, S
Kaye, C
Coutts, A
MacKay, L
Summers, C
Polgarova, P
Farahi, N
Fox, E
McWilliam, S
Hawcutt, D
Rad, L
O’Malley, L
Whitbread, J
Jones, D
Dore, R
Saunderson, P
Kelsall, O
Cowley, N
Wild, L
Thrush, J
Wood, H
Austin, K
Bélteczki, J
Magyar, I
Fazekas, Á
Kovács, S
Szőke, V
Donnelly, A
Kelly, M
Smyth, N
O’Kane, S
McClintock, D
Warnock, M
Campbell, R
McCallion, E
Azaiz, A
Charron, C
Godement, M
Geri, G
Vieillard-Baron, A
Johnson, P
McKenna, S
Hanley, J
Currie, A
Allen, B
McGoldrick, C
McMaster, M
Mani, A
Mathew, M
Kandeepan, R
Vignesh, C
TV, B
Ramakrishnan, N
James, A
Elvira, E
Jayakumar, D
Pratheema, R
Babu, S
Ebenezer, R
Krishnaoorthy, S
Ranganathan, L
Ganesan, M
Shree, M
Guilder, E
Butler, M
Cowdrey, K-A
Robertson, M
Ali, F
McMahon, E
Duffy, E
Chen, Y
Simmonds, C
McConnochie, R
O’Connor, C
El-Khawas, K
Richardson, A
Hill, D
Commons, R
Abdelkharim, H
Saxena, M
Muteithia, M
Dobell-Brown, K
Jha, R
Kalogirou, M
Ellis, C
Krishnamurthy, V
O’Connor, A
Thurairatnam, S
Mukherjee, D
Kaliappan, A
Vertue, M
Nicholson, A
Riches, J
Maloney, G
Kittridge, L
Solesbury, A
Ramos, A
Collins, D
Brickell, K
Reid, L
Smyth, M
Breen, P
Spain, S
Curley, G
McEvoy, N
Geoghegan, P
Clarke, J
Silversides, J
McGuigan, P
Ward, K
O’Neill, A
Finn, S
Wright, C
Green, J
Collins, É
Knott, C
Smith, J
Boschert, C
Slieker, K
Ewalds, E
Sanders, A
Wittenberg, W
Geurts, H
Poojara, L
Sara, T
Nand, K
Reeve, B
Dechert, W
Phillips, B
Oritz-Ruiz de Gordoa, L
Affleck, J
Shaikh, A
Murray, A
Ramanan, M
Frakking, T
Pinnell, J
Robinson, M
Gledhill, L
Wood, T
Sanghavi, R
Bhonagiri, D
Ford, M
Parikh, HG
Avard, B
Nourse, M
McDonald, B
Edmunds, N
Hoiting, O
Peters, M
Rengers, E
Evers, M
Prinssen, A
Morgan, M
Cole, J
Hill, H
Davies, M
Williams, A
Thomas, E
Davies, R
Wise, M
Grimm, P
Soukup, J
Wetzold, R
Löbel, M
Starke, L
Lellouche, F
Lizotte, P
Declerq, P
Antoine, M
Stephanie, G
Jean-Pierre, E
François, B
Marion, B
Philippe, R
Pourcine, F
Monchi, M
Luis, D
Mercier, R
Sagnier, A
Verrier, N
Caplin, C
Richecoeu, J
Combaux, D
Siami, S
Aparicio, C
Vautier, S
Jeblaoui, A
Lemaire-Brunel, D
D'Aragon, F
Carbonneau, E
Leblond, J
Plantefeve, G
Leparco, C
Contou, D
Fartoukh, M
Courtin, L
Labbe, V
Voiriot, G
Salhi, S
Chassé, M
Carrier, F
Boumahni, D
Benettaib, F
Ghamraoui, A
Sement, A
Gachet, A
Hanisch, A
Haffiane, A
Boivin, A-H
Barreau, A
Guerineau, E
Poupblanc, S
Egreteau, P
Lefevre, M
Bocher, S
Le Loup, G
Le Guen, L
Carn, V
Bertel, M
Antcliffe, D
Templeton, M
Rojo, R
Coghlan, P
Smee, J
Barker, G
Finn, A
Kreb, G
Hoff, U
Hinrichs, C
Nee, J
Mackay, E
Cort, J
Whileman, A
Spencer, T
Spittle, N
Beavis, S
Padmakumar, A
Dale, K
Hawes, J
Moakes, E
Gascoyne, R
Pritchard, K
Stevenson, L
Cooke, J
Nemeth-Roszpopa, K
Gauli, B
Bastola, S
Muller, G
Nay, M-A
Kamel, T
Benzekri, D
Jacquier, S
Runge, I
Mathonnet, A
Barbier, F
Bretagnol, A
Carter, J
Van Der Heyden, K
Mehrtens, J
Morris, A
Morgan, S
Burke, T
Mercier, E
Chartier, D
Salmon, C
Dequin, P-F
Garot, D
Bellemare, D
Cloutier, È
Daher, R
Costerousse, O
Boulanger, M-C
Couillard-Chénard, É
Lauzier, F
Francoeur, C
Francois, B
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Anne-Laure, F
Ramali, M
HC, O
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Osagie, R
Arachchige, M
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Cheung, W
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Bamford, P
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Cawley, K
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Sekiwala, R
Smith, T
Brewer, C
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Music, E
Ricketts, D
King, A
Clermont, G
Bart, R
Mayr, F
Schoenling, A
Andreae, M
Shetty, V
Brant, E
Malley, B
Donadee, C
Sackrowitz, R
Weissman, A
Yealy, D
Barton, D
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Nikitas, N
Wells, C
Lankester, L
McMillan, H
Van den Oever, H
Kruisdijk-Gerritsen, A
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Fitzpatrick, M
Franz, C
Kitsios, G
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Rosborough, B
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Williams, P
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Item Type: Journal Article
Abstract: Importance The longer-term effects of therapies for the treatment of critically ill patients with COVID-19 are unknown. Objective To determine the effect of multiple interventions for critically ill adults with COVID-19 on longer-term outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants Prespecified secondary analysis of an ongoing adaptive platform trial (REMAP-CAP) testing interventions within multiple therapeutic domains in which 4869 critically ill adult patients with COVID-19 were enrolled between March 9, 2020, and June 22, 2021, from 197 sites in 14 countries. The final 180-day follow-up was completed on March 2, 2022. Interventions Patients were randomized to receive 1 or more interventions within 6 treatment domains: immune modulators (n = 2274), convalescent plasma (n = 2011), antiplatelet therapy (n = 1557), anticoagulation (n = 1033), antivirals (n = 726), and corticosteroids (n = 401). Main Outcomes and Measures The main outcome was survival through day 180, analyzed using a bayesian piecewise exponential model. A hazard ratio (HR) less than 1 represented improved survival (superiority), while an HR greater than 1 represented worsened survival (harm); futility was represented by a relative improvement less than 20% in outcome, shown by an HR greater than 0.83. Results Among 4869 randomized patients (mean age, 59.3 years; 1537 [32.1%] women), 4107 (84.3%) had known vital status and 2590 (63.1%) were alive at day 180. IL-6 receptor antagonists had a greater than 99.9% probability of improving 6-month survival (adjusted HR, 0.74 [95% credible interval {CrI}, 0.61-0.90]) and antiplatelet agents had a 95% probability of improving 6-month survival (adjusted HR, 0.85 [95% CrI, 0.71-1.03]) compared with the control, while the probability of trial-defined statistical futility (HR >0.83) was high for therapeutic anticoagulation (99.9%; HR, 1.13 [95% CrI, 0.93-1.42]), convalescent plasma (99.2%; HR, 0.99 [95% CrI, 0.86-1.14]), and lopinavir-ritonavir (96.6%; HR, 1.06 [95% CrI, 0.82-1.38]) and the probabilities of harm from hydroxychloroquine (96.9%; HR, 1.51 [95% CrI, 0.98-2.29]) and the combination of lopinavir-ritonavir and hydroxychloroquine (96.8%; HR, 1.61 [95% CrI, 0.97-2.67]) were high. The corticosteroid domain was stopped early prior to reaching a predefined statistical trigger; there was a 57.1% to 61.6% probability of improving 6-month survival across varying hydrocortisone dosing strategies. Conclusions and Relevance Among critically ill patients with COVID-19 randomized to receive 1 or more therapeutic interventions, treatment with an IL-6 receptor antagonist had a greater than 99.9% probability of improved 180-day mortality compared with patients randomized to the control, and treatment with an antiplatelet had a 95.0% probability of improved 180-day mortality compared with patients randomized to the control. Overall, when considered with previously reported short-term results, the findings indicate that initial in-hospital treatment effects were consistent for most therapies through 6 months.
Issue Date: 1-Jan-2023
Date of Acceptance: 30-Nov-2022
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/101400
DOI: 10.1001/jama.2022.23257
ISSN: 0098-7484
Publisher: American Medical Association
Start Page: 39
End Page: 51
Journal / Book Title: JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association
Volume: 329
Issue: 1
Copyright Statement: © 2022 American Medical Association. All rights reserved.
Publication Status: Published
Online Publication Date: 2022-12-16
Appears in Collections:Department of Surgery and Cancer
Imperial College London COVID-19