Personalised management of women with cervical abnormalities using a clinical decision support scoring system
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Accepted version
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To develop a clinical decision support scoring system (DSSS) based on artificial neural networks (ANN) for personalised management of women with cervical abnormalities. METHODS: We recruited women with cervical abnormalities and healthy controls that attended for opportunistic screening between 2006 and 2014 in 3 University Hospitals. We prospectively collected detailed patient characteristics, the colposcopic impression and performed a series of biomarkers using a liquid-based cytology sample. These included HPV DNA typing, E6&E7 mRNA by NASBA or flow cytometry and p16INK4a immunostaining. We used ANNs to combine the cytology and biomarker results and develop a clinical DSSS with the aim to improve the diagnostic accuracy of tests and quantify the individual's risk for different histological diagnoses. We used histology as the gold standard. RESULTS: We analysed data from 2267 women that had complete or partial dataset of clinical and molecular data during their initial or followup visits (N=3565). Accuracy parameters (sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values) were assessed for the cytological result and/or HPV status and for the DSSS. The ANN predicted with higher accuracy the chances of high-grade (CIN2+), low grade (HPV/CIN1) and normal histology than cytology with or without HPV test. The sensitivity for prediction of CIN2 or worse was 93.0%, specificity 99.2% with high positive (93.3%) and negative (99.2%) predictive values. CONCLUSIONS: The DSSS based on an ANN of multilayer perceptron (MLP) type, can predict with the highest accuracy the histological diagnosis in women with abnormalities at cytology when compared with the use of tests alone. A user-friendly software based on this technology could be used to guide clinician decision making towards a more personalised care.
Date Issued
2016-04-01
Date Acceptance
2015-12-30
Citation
Gynecologic Oncology, 2016, 141 (1), pp.29-35
ISSN
1095-6859
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
29
End Page
35
Journal / Book Title
Gynecologic Oncology
Volume
141
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2016 Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Sponsor
British Society for Colposcopy and Cervical Pathology
Genesis Research Trust
Identifier
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27016226
PII: S0090-8258(15)30235-3
Grant Number
N/A
01020
Subjects
Artificial neural networks
CIN
Cervical intra-epithelial neoplasia
Decision Support Scoring System
Modelling
Multilayer perceptron
Oncology & Carcinogenesis
1112 Oncology And Carcinogenesis
1114 Paediatrics And Reproductive Medicine
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
United States