A systems based approach for financial risk modelling and optimisation of the mineral processing and metal production industry
File(s)Manuscript_rev2_upload_clean.pdf (1.85 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Korre, A
Durucan, S
Pan, I
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Large scale engineering process systems are subject to a variety of risks which affect the productivity and profitability of the industry in the long run. This paper outlines the short comings of the current methods of risk quantification and proposes a systems engineering framework to overcome these issues. The functionality of the developed model is illustrated for the case of mineral processing and metal production industries using a copper ore processing and refined metal production case study. The methodology provides a quantitative assessment of the risk factors and allows the opportunity to minimise financial losses, which would help investors, insurers and plant operators in these sectors to make appropriate risk hedging policies. The models developed can also be coupled with evolutionary or swarm based algorithms for optimising the systems. A numerical example is illustrated to demonstrate the validity of the proposition.
Date Issued
2016-06-09
Date Acceptance
2016-03-14
Citation
Computers and Chemical Engineering, 2016, 89 (1), pp.84-105
ISSN
0098-1354
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
84
End Page
105
Journal / Book Title
Computers and Chemical Engineering
Volume
89
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2016, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Sponsor
Sciemus Ltd
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0098135416300710?via%3Dihub
Grant Number
MR INDRANIL PAN 00732044
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications
Engineering, Chemical
Computer Science
Engineering
Financial risk modelling
Reliability based risk modelling
Quantitative risk assessment
Process systems optimisation
Systems thinking
ENVIRONMENTS
RELIABILITY
ALGORITHMS
Chemical Engineering
0904 Chemical Engineering
0913 Mechanical Engineering
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2016-03-16