Constructing deployment scenarios for reserve deliverability via adaptive robust optimization
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Author(s)
Van Caelenberg, Guillaume
Stratigakos, Akylas
Spyrou, Elina
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Network congestion often hinders the deployment of reserves needed to balance forecast errors during real-time operations. A pertinent idea to tackle this challenge involves adding deployment scenarios of spatial distributions of forecast errors as contingencies to the day-ahead problem. However, current approaches disregard the effect of grid characteristics and the day-ahead schedule on the induced congestion and, consequently, reserve deliverability. In this work, we formulate a two-stage adaptive robust optimization problem to jointly consider interactions between day-ahead and real-time operations and forecast errors. Using a column-and-constraint algorithm, we iteratively construct deployment scenarios by finding the worst-case forecast error for reserve deliverability. Simulations on the RTS-GMLC system show that adding these scenarios to the day-ahead problem significantly reduces the frequency of congestion-driven reserve undeliverability. Notably, the choice and number of scenarios dynamically adapts to the day-ahead schedule.
Date Issued
2027-02-01
Date Acceptance
2026-06-22
Citation
Electric Power Systems Research, 2027, 263
ISSN
0378-7796
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Journal / Book Title
Electric Power Systems Research
Volume
263
Copyright Statement
© 2026 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
License URL
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
113632
Date Publish Online
2026-07-07
