Macro-prudential policy and asset pricing
File(s)
Author(s)
Wei, Daren
Type
Thesis or dissertation
Abstract
I study questions related to the general equilibrium effects of macro-prudential policy designed to
restrict speculation driven by belief dispersion among investors. First, I explore the asset pricing implications
of differences in beliefs, and I find that belief dispersion caused by overconfidence can explain
the downward sloping equity premium term structure and upward sloping bond yield curve. Second, I
investigate the impact of speculation driven by belief dispersion on asset prices, social welfare and the
aggregate economy. I find speculation reduces social welfare and creates a negative output gap, creating
a role for macro-prudential policy. I conclude by studying a general equilibrium asset pricing model
with a macro-prudential policy constraint that dampens the leverage cycle. My results show that macroprudential
policy can help to mitigate the externalities caused by speculation, enhance economic growth,
and increase social welfare even when policy makers do not know the correct physical distribution of
exogenous technology shocks.
restrict speculation driven by belief dispersion among investors. First, I explore the asset pricing implications
of differences in beliefs, and I find that belief dispersion caused by overconfidence can explain
the downward sloping equity premium term structure and upward sloping bond yield curve. Second, I
investigate the impact of speculation driven by belief dispersion on asset prices, social welfare and the
aggregate economy. I find speculation reduces social welfare and creates a negative output gap, creating
a role for macro-prudential policy. I conclude by studying a general equilibrium asset pricing model
with a macro-prudential policy constraint that dampens the leverage cycle. My results show that macroprudential
policy can help to mitigate the externalities caused by speculation, enhance economic growth,
and increase social welfare even when policy makers do not know the correct physical distribution of
exogenous technology shocks.
Version
Open Access
Date Issued
2017-09
Date Awarded
2018-09
Copyright Statement
Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial No Derivatives licence.
Advisor
Bhamra, Harjoat
Biffis, Enrico
Zaffaroni, Paolo
Publisher Department
Imperial College Business School
Publisher Institution
Imperial College London
Qualification Level
Doctoral
Qualification Name
Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)