Choosing the future of Antarctica

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Title: Choosing the future of Antarctica
Author(s): Rintoul, SR
Chown, SL
DeConto, RM
England, MH
Fricker, HA
Masson-Delmotte, V
Naish, TR
Siegert, M
Xavier, JC
Item Type: Journal Article
Abstract: We present two narratives on the future of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, from the perspective of an observer looking back from 2070. In the first scenario, greenhouse gas emissions remained unchecked, the climate continued to warm, and the policy response was ineffective; this had large ramifications in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, with worldwide impacts. In the second scenario, ambitious action was taken to limit greenhouse gas emissions and to establish policies that reduced anthropogenic pressure on the environment, slowing the rate of change in Antarctica. Choices made in the next decade will determine what trajectory is realized.
Publication Date: 13-Jun-2018
Date of Acceptance: 13-Mar-2018
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/60056
DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0173-4
ISSN: 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
Start Page: 233
End Page: 241
Journal / Book Title: Nature
Volume: 558
Sponsor/Funder: British Council (UK)
Funder's Grant Number: ICECAP-2
Copyright Statement: © 2018 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. All rights reserved.
Keywords: MD Multidisciplinary
General Science & Technology
Publication Status: Published
Open Access location: https://rdcu.be/Xb2K
Online Publication Date: 2018-06-14
Appears in Collections:Centre for Environmental Policy
Faculty of Natural Sciences



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