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Societal transformations in models for energy and climate policy: The ambitious next step

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Title: Societal transformations in models for energy and climate policy: The ambitious next step
Authors: Trutnevyte, E
Hirt, LF
Bauer, N
Cherp, A
Hawkes, A
Edelenbosch, OY
Pedde, S
Van Vuuren, DP
Item Type: Journal Article
Abstract: Whether and how long-term energy and climate targets can be reached depend on a range of interlinked factors: technology, economy, environment, policy, and society at large. Integrated assessment models of climate change or energy-system models have limited representations of societal transformations, such as behavior of various actors, transformation dynamics in time, and heterogeneity across and within societies. After reviewing the state of the art, we propose a research agenda to guide experiments to integrate more insights from social sciences into models: (1) map and assess societal assumptions in existing models, (2) conduct empirical research on generalizable and quantifiable patterns to be integrated into models, and (3) build and extensively validate modified or new models. Our proposed agenda offers three benefits: interdisciplinary learning between modelers and social scientists, improved models with a more complete representation of multifaceted reality, and identification of new and more effective solutions to energy and climate challenges.
Issue Date: Dec-2019
Date of Acceptance: 1-Dec-2019
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/89427
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2019.12.002
ISSN: 2590-3322
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Start Page: 423
End Page: 433
Journal / Book Title: One Earth
Volume: 1
Issue: 4
Copyright Statement: © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Sponsor/Funder: Shell Global Solutions International BV
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
Shell Global Solutions International BV
Funder's Grant Number: PO 4550182471
NE/N018656/1
PO: 4550182471 (Agr.N.PT77776)
Publication Status: Published
Open Access location: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2019.12.002
Online Publication Date: 2019-12-20
Appears in Collections:Chemical Engineering



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