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Cost and cost-effectiveness of a universal HIV testing and treatment intervention in Zambia and South Africa: evidence and projections from the HPTN 071 (PopART) trial

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Title: Cost and cost-effectiveness of a universal HIV testing and treatment intervention in Zambia and South Africa: evidence and projections from the HPTN 071 (PopART) trial
Authors: Thomas, R
Probert, W
Sauter, R
Mwenge, L
Singh, S
Kanema, S
Vanqa, N
Harper, A
Burger, R
Cori, A
Pickles, M
Bell-Mandla, N
Yang, B
Bwalya, J
Phiri, M
Shanaube, K
Floyd, S
Donnell, D
Bock, P
Ayles, H
Fidler, S
Hayes, R
Fraser, C
Hauck, K
Item Type: Journal Article
Abstract: Background The HPTN 071 (PopART) trial showed that a combination HIV prevention package including universal HIV testing and treatment (UTT) reduced population-level incidence of HIV compared with standard care. However, evidence is scarce on the costs and cost-effectiveness of such an intervention. Methods Using an individual-based model, we simulated the PopART intervention and standard care with antiretroviral therapy (ART) provided according to national guidelines for the 21 trial communities in Zambia and South Africa (for all individuals aged >14 years), with model parameters and primary cost data collected during the PopART trial and from published sources. Two intervention scenarios were modelled: annual rounds of PopART from 2014 to 2030 (PopART 2014–30; as the UNAIDS Fast-Track target year) and three rounds of PopART throughout the trial intervention period (PopART 2014–17). For each country, we calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) as the cost per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) and cost per HIV infection averted. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves were used to indicate the probability of PopART being cost-effective compared with standard care at different thresholds of cost per DALY averted. We also assessed budget impact by projecting undiscounted costs of the intervention compared with standard care up to 2030. Findings During 2014–17, the mean cost per person per year of delivering home-based HIV counselling and testing, linkage to care, promotion of ART adherence, and voluntary medical male circumcision via community HIV care providers for the simulated population was US$6·53 (SD 0·29) in Zambia and US$7·93 (0·16) in South Africa. In the PopART 2014–30 scenario, median ICERs for PopART delivered annually until 2030 were $2111 (95% credible interval [CrI] 1827–2462) per HIV infection averted in Zambia and $3248 (2472–3963) per HIV infection averted in South Africa; and $593 (95% CrI 526–674) per DALY averted in Zambia and $645 (538–757) per DALY averted in South Africa. In the PopART 2014–17 scenario, PopART averted one infection at a cost of $1318 (1098–1591) in Zambia and $2236 (1601–2916) in South Africa, and averted one DALY at $258 (225–298) in Zambia and $326 (266–391) in South Africa, when outcomes were projected until 2030. The intervention had almost 100% probability of being cost-effective at thresholds greater than $700 per DALY averted in Zambia, and greater than $800 per DALY averted in South Africa, in the PopART 2014–30 scenario. Incremental programme costs for annual rounds until 2030 were $46·12 million (for a mean of 341 323 people) in Zambia and $30·24 million (for a mean of 165 852 people) in South Africa. Interpretation Combination prevention with universal home-based testing can be delivered at low annual cost per person but accumulates to a considerable amount when scaled for a growing population. Combination prevention including UTT is cost-effective at thresholds greater than $800 per DALY averted and can be an efficient strategy to reduce HIV incidence in high-prevalence settings.
Issue Date: 1-May-2021
Date of Acceptance: 21-Jan-2021
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/87080
DOI: 10.1016/S2214-109X(21)00034-6
ISSN: 2214-109X
Publisher: Elsevier
Start Page: e668
End Page: e680
Journal / Book Title: The Lancet Global Health
Volume: 9
Issue: 5
Copyright Statement: © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
Sponsor/Funder: Pepfar, NIAID, NIMH, NIDA, BMGF
Medical Research Council (MRC)
National Institute for Health Research
Abdul Latif Jameel Foundation
National Institutes of Health
Funder's Grant Number: MR/R015600/1
NIHR200908
PO15001410 (UMIAI068619)
Keywords: HPTN 071 (PopART) study team
0605 Microbiology
1117 Public Health and Health Services
Publication Status: Published
Online Publication Date: 2021-03-12
Appears in Collections:Department of Infectious Diseases
Faculty of Medicine
School of Public Health



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