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Modelling the impact of liner shipping network perturbations on container cargo routing: Southeast Asia to Europe application

Title: Modelling the impact of liner shipping network perturbations on container cargo routing: Southeast Asia to Europe application
Authors: Achurra-Gonzalez, PE
Novati, M
Foulser-Piggott, R
Graham, DJ
Bowman, G
Bell, MGH
Angeloudis, P
Item Type: Journal Article
Abstract: Understanding how container routing stands to be impacted by different scenarios of liner shipping network perturbations such as natural disasters or new major infrastructure developments is of key importance for decision-making in the liner shipping industry. The variety of actors and processes within modern supply chains and the complexity of their relationships have previously led to the development of simulation-based models, whose application has been largely compromised by their dependency on extensive and often confidential sets of data. This study proposes the application of optimisation techniques less dependent on complex data sets in order to develop a quantitative framework to assess the impacts of disruptive events on liner shipping networks. We provide a categorization of liner network perturbations, differentiating between systemic and external and formulate a container assignment model that minimises routing costs extending previous implementations to allow feasible solutions when routing capacity is reduced below transport demand. We develop a base case network for the Southeast Asia to Europe liner shipping trade and review of accidents related to port disruptions for two scenarios of seismic and political conflict hazards. Numerical results identify alternative routing paths and costs in the aftermath of port disruptions scenarios and suggest higher vulnerability of intra-regional connectivity.
Issue Date: Feb-2019
Date of Acceptance: 26-Apr-2016
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/32304
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2016.04.030
Publisher: Elsevier
Start Page: 399
End Page: 410
Journal / Book Title: Accident Analysis & Prevention
Volume: 123
Copyright Statement: © 2016, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Keywords: Science & Technology
Social Sciences
Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Ergonomics
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
Transportation
Engineering
Social Sciences - Other Topics
Liner shipping
Network perturbations
Port disruption accidents
Container assignment model
DISRUPTIONS
Container assignment model
Liner shipping
Network perturbations
Port disruption accidents
Asia, Southeastern
Commerce
Disasters
Europe
Humans
Models, Statistical
Risk Assessment
Ships
Transportation
Humans
Models, Statistical
Risk Assessment
Disasters
Commerce
Transportation
Ships
Asia, Southeastern
Europe
Logistics & Transportation
1117 Public Health and Health Services
1507 Transportation and Freight Services
1701 Psychology
Publication Status: Published
Online Publication Date: 2016-06-03
Appears in Collections:Civil and Environmental Engineering
Faculty of Engineering