The intracranial-B2LEED3S score and the risk of intracranial hemorrhage in ischemic stroke patients under antiplatelet treatment.
File(s)ICH_BLEEDS_score_20160831.doc (1.87 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background: Chronic antiplatelet therapy in the post-acute phase of non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke is limited by the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) complications. Methods: We developed an ICH risk score based on the PERFORM trial cohort (n = 19,100), which included patients with a non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack, and externally validated this score in one contemporary trial of very similar size and inclusion criteria, the PRoFESS trial (n = 20,332 patients). Outcome was ICH over 2 years. A Cox proportional-hazard regression analysis identified risk factors. Discrimination was quantified with c-statistics and calibration was assessed by comparing predicted and observed ICH risk in PERFORM and PRoFESS. Results: ICH occurred within 2 years in 263 (1.4%) patients in PERFORM trial and in 246 (1.2%) patients in PRoFESS trial. A 13-point score based on 9 items (Intracranial-B2LEED3S score - low body mass index, blood pressure, lacune, elderly, Asian ethnicity, coronary artery or cerebrovascular disease history, dual antithrombotic agent or oral anticoagulant, gender) was derived from the PERFORM trial. In PERFORM, the observed 2-year ICH risk varied from 0.75% in low-risk (score ≤2) to 2.44% in high-risk patients (score ≥5) with an acceptable calibration but a low discrimination both in PERFORM (c-statistic 0.64, 95% CI 0.61-0.68) and on external validation in PRoFESS (0.58, 95% CI 0.55-0.62). Conclusion: The Intracranial-B2LEED3S score helps identify patients who are at a high risk of bleeding. However, other variables need to be identified to improve the score (e.g., microbleeds) (Clinical Trial Registration Information ISRCTN66157730).
Date Issued
2017-01-14
Date Acceptance
2016-10-13
Citation
Cerebrovascular Diseases, 2017, 43 (3-4), pp.145-151
ISSN
1015-9770
Publisher
Karger Publishers
Start Page
145
End Page
151
Journal / Book Title
Cerebrovascular Diseases
Volume
43
Issue
3-4
Copyright Statement
© 2017 S. Karger AG, Basel
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000399170000008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Clinical Neurology
Peripheral Vascular Disease
Neurosciences & Neurology
Cardiovascular System & Cardiology
Low body mass index
Blood pressure
Lacune
Elderly
Asian ethnicity
Cardiovascular disease
Cerebrovascular disease
Dual antithrombotic treatment or anticoagulant
Sex
ACUTE CORONARY SYNDROMES
EXTENDED-RELEASE DIPYRIDAMOLE
DOUBLE-BLIND
CEREBRAL MICROBLEEDS
CONTROLLED-TRIAL
CARDIOVASCULAR EVENTS
PROGNOSTIC MODEL
RECURRENT STROKE
ATTACK PERFORM
PARALLEL-GROUP
Publication Status
Published