Lung capacity is a determinant of cardiovascular disease and myocardial infarction
File(s)
Published version
Author(s)
Knox-Brown, Ben
Sibomana, Jean-Pierre
Sylvester, Karl
Amaral, Andre
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Introduction: There is growing evidence suggesting that lung capacity is associated with risk of cardiometabolic disease. However, most studies rely on spirometric measures of lung capacity and self-reported cardiometabolic disease. We aimed to investigate the association of total lung capacity (TLC) with cardiometabolic disease defined using ICD-10 codes.
Methods: Data from adult patients referred to Cambridge University Hospitals between 2016 and 2024 were used if spirometry, single breath gas transfer, and body plethysmography were performed in the same session. GLI reference equations were used to generate z-scores for lung function measures. ICD-10 codes for cardiovascular disease, hypertension, and diabetes were extracted from medical records. We used multi-level (mixed-effects) Cox regression analysis to investigate the association between lung function measurements and incident cardiometabolic disease.
Results: 5628 patients were included, 51% were female, with a median age of 62 (IQR 50-70) years. 60% reported a smoking history. Mean follow-up time was 5.7 (SD 2.3) years, during which time 5% received a cardiovascular disease code, 7% a hypertension code, and 3% a diabetes code. A 1-unit increment in TLC z-score was associated with a 12% lower risk of cardiovascular disease (HR: 0.88, 95%CI 0.80-0.97) later in life. The same was seen for FVC (HR: 0.88, 95%CI 0.77-0.99) but not FEV1/FVC or DLCO. A larger TLC was also associated with lower risk of myocardial infarction. We found no association of lung function measures with incident hypertension or diabetes.
Conclusion: Lung capacity is a determinant for cardiovascular disease and myocardial infarction, with larger lungs being protective. TLC and FVC should be considered by clinicians along with other factors, when evaluating a person’s risk of cardiovascular disease.
Methods: Data from adult patients referred to Cambridge University Hospitals between 2016 and 2024 were used if spirometry, single breath gas transfer, and body plethysmography were performed in the same session. GLI reference equations were used to generate z-scores for lung function measures. ICD-10 codes for cardiovascular disease, hypertension, and diabetes were extracted from medical records. We used multi-level (mixed-effects) Cox regression analysis to investigate the association between lung function measurements and incident cardiometabolic disease.
Results: 5628 patients were included, 51% were female, with a median age of 62 (IQR 50-70) years. 60% reported a smoking history. Mean follow-up time was 5.7 (SD 2.3) years, during which time 5% received a cardiovascular disease code, 7% a hypertension code, and 3% a diabetes code. A 1-unit increment in TLC z-score was associated with a 12% lower risk of cardiovascular disease (HR: 0.88, 95%CI 0.80-0.97) later in life. The same was seen for FVC (HR: 0.88, 95%CI 0.77-0.99) but not FEV1/FVC or DLCO. A larger TLC was also associated with lower risk of myocardial infarction. We found no association of lung function measures with incident hypertension or diabetes.
Conclusion: Lung capacity is a determinant for cardiovascular disease and myocardial infarction, with larger lungs being protective. TLC and FVC should be considered by clinicians along with other factors, when evaluating a person’s risk of cardiovascular disease.
Date Issued
2026-02-09
Date Acceptance
2026-01-05
Citation
Respiratory Research, 2026, 27 (1)
ISSN
1465-9921
Publisher
BMC
Journal / Book Title
Respiratory Research
Volume
27
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2026. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
License URL
Identifier
10.1186/s12931-026-03502-y
Subjects
Clinical epidemiology
Cardiovascular disease
Lung function
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
48
Date Publish Online
2026-01-13