The co-predictive value of a cardiovascular score for CV outcomes in diabetic patients with no atrial fibrillation
File(s)RS. Revised paper + Table 1 and Table 2.docx (79.97 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Risk factors included in the cardiovascular (CHA2 DS2 -VASc) score, currently used for atrial fibrillation (AF), may predispose to cardiovascular events whether or not AF is present. The aim was to explore the predictive role of CHA2 DS2 -VASc score on cardiovascular outcomes in diabetic patients without AF. METHODS: We accessed individual data from 610 diabetic patients without AF at baseline included in the prospective cohort of the Malmö Diet and Cancer study. Main outcome measure was the occurrence of cardiovascular events (stroke, coronary events) and death. Mean follow-up was 14.5 ± 5 years (8845 person/years). RESULTS: The CHA2 DS2 -VASc score significantly predicted the risk of all outcome measures. There was a significant increase in stroke, coronary events, and death risk by each point of CHA2 DS2 -VASc score elevation [stroke: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.43, 95% CI 1.14-1.79, P = 0.001; coronary events: aHR 1.55, 95% CI 1.34-1.80, P < 0.0001; death: aHR 1.94, 95% CI 1.71-2.21, P < 0.0001]. A CHA2 DS2 -VASc score ≥4 was associated with higher incidence of ischemic stroke (aHR 1.47, 95% CI 1.18-1.82; P = 0.001), coronary events (aHR 1.32; 95% CI 1.11-1.58; P = 0.002), and death (aHR 1.36; 95% CI 1.20-1.54; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based study on diabetic patients without AF, the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score was an independent predictor of ischemic stroke, coronary events, and overall mortality. Regardless of the AF status, the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score might represent a rapid and user-friendly tool for clinical assessment of diabetic patients at higher cardiovascular risk.
Date Issued
2019-07
Date Acceptance
2019-02-18
Citation
Diabetes/Metabolism Research and Reviews, 2019, 35 (5)
ISSN
1520-7560
Publisher
Wiley
Journal / Book Title
Diabetes/Metabolism Research and Reviews
Volume
35
Issue
5
Copyright Statement
© 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. This is the accepted version of the following article, which has been published in final form at https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/dmrr.3145
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30790434
Subjects
CHA2DS2-VASc score
cardiovascular disease risk
death
diabetes
myocardial infarction
predictive value
stroke
Publication Status
Published online
Coverage Spatial
England
Article Number
ARTN e3145
Date Publish Online
2019-02-21