Global geologic carbon storage requirements of climate change mitigation scenarios
File(s)d0ee00674b.pdf (2.35 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Zahasky, Christopher
Krevor, Samuel
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Integrated assessment models have identified carbon capture and storage (CCS) as an important technology for limiting climate change. To achieve 2 °C climate targets, many scenarios require tens of gigatons of CO2 stored per year by mid-century. These scenarios are often unconstrained by growth rates, and uncertainty in global geologic storage assessments limits resource-based constraints. Here we show how logistic growth models, a common tool in resource assessment, provide a mathematical framework for stakeholders to monitor short-term CCS deployment progress and long-term resource requirements in the context of climate change mitigation targets. Growth rate analysis, constrained by historic commercial CO2 storage rates, indicates sufficient growth to achieve several of the 2100 storage targets identified in the assessment reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. A maximum global discovered storage capacity of approximately 2700 Gt is needed to meet the most aggressive targets, with this ceiling growing if CCS deployment is delayed.
Date Issued
2020-06-01
Date Acceptance
2020-05-06
Citation
Energy and Environmental Science, 2020, 13 (6), pp.1561-1567
ISSN
1754-5692
Publisher
Royal Society of Chemistry
Start Page
1561
End Page
1567
Journal / Book Title
Energy and Environmental Science
Volume
13
Issue
6
Copyright Statement
© The Royal Society of Chemistry 2020. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported Licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/)
Sponsor
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (E
BEIS - Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy
Identifier
https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2020/EE/D0EE00674B
Grant Number
UKCCSRC 2017 Partner
415000025679
Subjects
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Chemistry, Multidisciplinary
Energy & Fuels
Engineering, Chemical
Environmental Sciences
Chemistry
Engineering
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
CAPTURE
DIOXIDE
EFFICIENCY
PRESSURE
CAPACITY
SCALE
Energy
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2020-05-21