Lagrangian time series models for ocean surface drifter trajectories
File(s)1312.2923v3.pdf (5.98 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Sykulski, Adam M
Olhede, Sofia C
Lilly, Jonathan M
Danioux, Eric
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The paper proposes stochastic models for the analysis of ocean surface trajectories obtained from freely drifting satellite-tracked instruments. The time series models proposed are used to summarize large multivariate data sets and to infer important physical parameters of inertial oscillations and other ocean processes. Non-stationary time series methods are employed to account for the spatiotemporal variability of each trajectory. Because the data sets are large, we construct computationally efficient methods through the use of frequency domain modelling and estimation, with the data expressed as complex-valued time series. We detail how practical issues related to sampling and model misspecification may be addressed by using semiparametric techniques for time series, and we demonstrate the effectiveness of our stochastic models through application to both real world data and to numerical model output.
Date Issued
2016-01-01
Date Acceptance
2015-12-01
Citation
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics, 2016, 65 (1), pp.29-50
ISSN
0035-9254
Publisher
Wiley
Start Page
29
End Page
50
Journal / Book Title
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics
Volume
65
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2015 Royal Statistical Society. This is the accepted version of the following article: Sykulski, A.M., Olhede, S.C., Lilly, J.M. and Danioux, E. (2016), Lagrangian time series models for ocean surface drifter trajectories. J. R. Stat. Soc. C, 65: 29-50, which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12112
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000367978400002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Complex-valued time series
FRACTAL DIMENSION
Inertial oscillation
Matern process
Mathematics
Non-stationary processes
Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process
Physical Sciences
PROPAGATION
Science & Technology
SEMIPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION
Semiparametric models
Spatiotemporal variability
SPECTRA
Statistics & Probability
STOCHASTIC-MODELS
Surface drifter
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2015-12-17