Poverty in the time of epidemic: A modelling perspective
File(s)
Author(s)
Sahasranaman, Anand
Jensen, Henrik Jeldtoft
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We create a network model to study the spread of an epidemic through physically proximate and accidental daily human contacts in a city, and simulate outcomes for two kinds of agents—poor and non-poor. Under non-intervention, peak caseload is maximised, but no differences are observed in infection rates across poor and non-poor. Introducing interventions to control spread, peak caseloads are reduced, but both cumulative infection rates and current infection rates are systematically higher for the poor than for non-poor, across all scenarios. Larger populations, higher fractions of poor, and longer durations of intervention are found to progressively worsen outcomes for the poor; and these are of particular concern for economically vulnerable populations in cities of the developing world. Addressing these challenges requires a deeper, more rigorous understanding of the relationships between structural poverty and epidemy, as well as effective utilization of extant community level infrastructure for primary care in developing cities. Finally, improving iniquitous outcomes for the poor creates better outcomes for the whole population, including the non-poor.
Date Issued
2020-11-10
Date Acceptance
2020-10-27
Citation
PLoS One, 2020, 15 (11), pp.1-16
ISSN
1932-6203
Publisher
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
Start Page
1
End Page
16
Journal / Book Title
PLoS One
Volume
15
Issue
11
Copyright Statement
© 2020 Sahasranaman, Jensen. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
License URL
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000592383400049&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Science & Technology - Other Topics
COVID-19
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN e0242042
Date Publish Online
2020-11-10