Application of single-station sigma and site-response characterization in a probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis for a new nuclear site
File(s)Rodriguez-Marek et al (2014).pdf (1.37 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Rodriguez-Marek, A
Rathje, EM
Bommer, JJ
Scherbaum, F
Stafford, PJ
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Aleatory variability in ground‐motion prediction, represented by the standard deviation (sigma) of a ground‐motion prediction equation, exerts a very strong influence on the results of probabilistic seismic‐hazard analysis (PSHA). This is especially so at the low annual exceedance frequencies considered for nuclear facilities; in these cases, even small reductions in sigma can have a marked effect on the hazard estimates. Proper separation and quantification of aleatory variability and epistemic uncertainty can lead to defensible reductions in sigma. One such approach is the single‐station sigma concept, which removes that part of sigma corresponding to repeatable site‐specific effects. However, the site‐to‐site component must then be constrained by site‐specific measurements or else modeled as epistemic uncertainty and incorporated into the modeling of site effects. The practical application of the single‐station sigma concept, including the characterization of the dynamic properties of the site and the incorporation of site‐response effects into the hazard calculations, is illustrated for a PSHA conducted at a rock site under consideration for the potential construction of a nuclear power plant.
Date Issued
2014-08-01
Date Acceptance
2013-07-25
Citation
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2014, 104 (4), pp.1601-1619
ISSN
0037-1106
Publisher
Seismological Society of America
Start Page
1601
End Page
1619
Journal / Book Title
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Volume
104
Issue
4
Copyright Statement
Copyright © 2016 by the Seismological Society of America. This copy is for distribution only by
the authors of the article and their institutions
in accordance with the Open Access Policy of the
Seismological Society of America.
For more information see the publications section
of the SSA website at www.seismosoc.org
the authors of the article and their institutions
in accordance with the Open Access Policy of the
Seismological Society of America.
For more information see the publications section
of the SSA website at www.seismosoc.org
Identifier
https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/bssa/article-abstract/104/4/1601/325366/Application-of-Single-Station-Sigma-and-Site
Subjects
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Geochemistry & Geophysics
MOTION PREDICTION EQUATIONS
AVERAGE HORIZONTAL COMPONENT
EASTERN NORTH-AMERICA
STRONG GROUND MOTION
STANDARD-DEVIATION
ROCK SITES
MODELS
SPECTRA
PERIODS
REGIONS
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2014-06-03