The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement's aim of 1.5 degrees C warming
OA Location
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The United Nations’ Paris Agreement includes the aim of pursuing efforts to limit global warming to only 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. However, it is not clear what the resulting climate would look like across the globe and over time. Here we show that trajectories towards a ‘1.5 °C warmer world’ may result in vastly different outcomes at regional scales, owing to variations in the pace and location of climate change and their interactions with society’s mitigation, adaptation and vulnerabilities to climate change. Pursuing policies that are considered to be consistent with the 1.5 °C aim will not completely remove the risk of global temperatures being much higher or of some regional extremes reaching dangerous levels for ecosystems and societies over the coming decades.
Date Issued
2018-06-07
Date Acceptance
2018-04-05
Citation
Nature, 2018, 558 (7708), pp.41-49
ISSN
0028-0836
Publisher
Nature Research
Start Page
41
End Page
49
Journal / Book Title
Nature
Volume
558
Issue
7708
Copyright Statement
© 2018 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. All rights reserved.
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000434273300035&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Science & Technology - Other Topics
CUMULATIVE CARBON EMISSIONS
GLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURE
EXTREMES
MITIGATION
MODELS
CONSEQUENCES
MANAGEMENT
SCENARIOS
PATHWAYS
INCREASE
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2018-06-06