The potential for vaccination-induced herd immunity against the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant
File(s)eurosurv-26-20-1.pdf (3.19 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Hodgson, David
Flasche, Stefan
Jit, Mark
Kucharski, Adam J
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Initial reports of vaccine effectiveness against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the virus responsible for coronavirus disease (COVID-19), have suggested a substantial reduction of the risk of infection [1]. Nevertheless, with the emergence of more transmissible variants such as B.1.1.7 [2], how large-scale immunisation programmes against SARS-CoV-2 will perform is currently unclear. This study assesses the potential of COVID-19 vaccination to generate herd immunity and takes into account vaccine effectiveness, naturally-acquired immunity and achievable vaccination coverage (depending on the population age structure), as well as two transmissibility scenarios ((i) with pre-B.1.1.7, and (ii) with exclusively B.1.1.7 variants).
Date Issued
2021-05-20
Date Acceptance
2021-05-20
Citation
Eurosurveillance, 2021, 26 (20), pp.2-8
ISSN
1560-7917
Publisher
European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)
Start Page
2
End Page
8
Journal / Book Title
Eurosurveillance
Volume
26
Issue
20
Copyright Statement
© This article is copyright of the authors or their affiliated institutions, 2021. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of
the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You
may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate
credit to the source, provide a link to the licence and indicate
if changes were made.
the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You
may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate
credit to the source, provide a link to the licence and indicate
if changes were made.
License URL
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2021.26.20.2100428
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2021-05-20