Modelling and control of COVID-19 in small environments with two-group population
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Published version
Author(s)
Niu, Zirui
Scarciotti, Giordano
Type
Conference Paper
Abstract
How to maximise socioeconomic activities while retaining the effect of COVID-19 endemic under control is an essential topic when many countries have decided to live with COVID. In this paper, we show how optimal control can be used to classify the importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to counter an epidemic under different expectations. We focus on the modelling of small environments, such as schools, universities, and care homes, where the population can be separated into two distinctive subgroups. We propose a model for such a scenario, we compute the associated basic reproduction number and we provide conditions for stability. Finally, we formulate an optimal control problem and, by means of simulations, we show that the relative importance of the interventions naturally emerges from the optimal policy.
Date Issued
2023-11-22
Date Acceptance
2023-03-03
Citation
IFAC-PapersOnLine, 2023, 56 (2), pp.5071-5076
ISSN
2405-8963
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
5071
End Page
5076
Journal / Book Title
IFAC-PapersOnLine
Volume
56
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© 2023 The Author(s). This is open access article under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Source
IFAC World Congress 2023
Publication Status
Published
Start Date
2023-07-09
Finish Date
2023-07-14
Coverage Spatial
Yokohama, Japan
Date Publish Online
2023-11-22