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  4. Modelling the natural gas dynamics in the Southern Cone of Latin America
 
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Modelling the natural gas dynamics in the Southern Cone of Latin America
File(s)
MAuro GasOutlookSouthernConePaper_Revised Manuscript corrected references.docx (3.49 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Chávez-Rodríguez, MF
Dias, L
Simoes, S
Seixas, J
Hawkes, AD
more
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Natural gas plays an important role in the Southern cone energy system, and is expected to increase in primary supply in the future. This paper presents a new energy systems model for the Southern Cone region of Latin America, covering five regions (Argentina, Bolivia, South and Centre Chile, North Chile, and Brazil) with the aim to explore, up to 2030, the interplay between (i) the expected consumption of natural gas for electricity generation and end-use consumption (i.e. residential, commercial, transport and industry) in each country, (ii) the inter- and intra-country potential role as producer and consumer of natural gas, and (iii) the possible supply network of LNG and natural gas via pipeline and domestic production. It is found that, under a Constrained Investment Scenario, the gross domestic gas production of the Southern Cone from 2012 to 2030 could be 62 Tcf, whereas under an Unconstrained Scenario, it could rise to 75 Tcf. This highlights the economic potential of the unconventional gas resources of Argentina and projections of associated gas from the Campos and Santos basins in Brazil. However, accessing these resources poses financial challenges. Nonetheless, results clearly indicate significant potential for an increase in regional natural gas trade in the Southern Cone.
Date Issued
2017-05-23
Date Acceptance
2017-05-04
Citation
Applied Energy, 2017, 201, pp.219-239
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/48434
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.05.061
ISSN
1872-9118
Publisher
Elseiver
Start Page
219
End Page
239
Journal / Book Title
Applied Energy
Volume
201
Copyright Statement
© 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Sponsor
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
Grant Number
NE/N018656/1
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Energy & Fuels
Engineering, Chemical
Engineering
Latin America
Integrated models
Unconventional gas
LNG
SYSTEM-ANALYSIS
ENERGY SYSTEM
TIME HORIZON
EU ECONOMY
TRANSFORMATIONS
DECARBONISATION
INDUSTRY
FUTURE
POLICY
PERU
Energy
09 Engineering
14 Economics
Publication Status
Published
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