Implied Liquidity Risk in the Term Structure of Sovereign Credit Default Swap Spreads and Bond Spreads
File(s)Term_structure_CDS_Sept14.pdf (1.37 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Badaoui, S
Cathcart, L
El-Jahel, L
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
In this study, we focus on the dynamic properties of the risk-neutral liquidity risk premium specific to the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets. We show that liquidity risk has a non-trivial role and participates directly to the variation over time of the term structure of sovereign CDS and bond spreads for both the pre- and crisis periods. Secondly, our results indicate that the time-varying bond and CDS liquidity risk premium move in opposite directions which imply that when bond liquidity risk is high, CDS liquidity risk is low (and vice versa), which may in turn be consistent with the substitution effect between CDS and bond markets. Finally, our Granger causality analysis reveals that, although the magnitude of bond and CDS liquidity risk is substantially different, there is a strong liquidity flow between the CDS and the bond markets, however, no market seems to consistently lead the other.
Date Issued
2015-01-19
Date Acceptance
2014-10-29
Citation
European Journal of Finance, 2015, 22 (10), pp.825-853
ISSN
1466-4364
Publisher
Taylor & Francis (Routledge)
Start Page
825
End Page
853
Journal / Book Title
European Journal of Finance
Volume
22
Issue
10
Copyright Statement
© 2014 Taylor & Francis. This is an Author's Accepted Manuscript of an article published in [include the complete citation information for the final version of the article as published in the EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF FINANCE (2014), available online at: http://www.tandfonline.com10.1080/1351847X.2014.996297
Description
04.03.15 KB. Ok to add accepted version to spiral, 18 months embargo
Publication Status
Published