The virtues of frugality - why cosmological observers should release their data slowly
File(s)0909.2649v2.pdf (137.04 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Starkman, GD
Trotta, R
Vaudrevange, PM
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Cosmologists will soon be in a unique position. Observational noise will gradually be replaced by cosmic variance as the dominant source of uncertainty in an increasing number of observations. We reflect on the ramifications for the discovery and verification of new models. If there are features in the full data set that call for a new model, there will be no subsequent observations to test that model's predictions. We give specific examples of the problem by discussing the pitfalls of model discovery by prior adjustment in the context of dark energy models and inflationary theories. We show how the gradual release of data can mitigate this difficulty, allowing anomalies to be identified and new models to be proposed and tested. We advocate that observers plan for the frugal release of data from future cosmic-variance-limited observations.
Date Issued
2010-01-01
Date Acceptance
2009-10-09
Citation
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 2010, 401 (1), pp.L15-L18
ISSN
1365-2966
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Start Page
L15
End Page
L18
Journal / Book Title
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
Volume
401
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2009 The Authors. Journal compilation © 2009 RAS
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000272867100004&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Astronomy & Astrophysics
Methods: data analysis
Methods: statistical
Cosmic microwave background
Cosmology: observations
Probe WMAP observations
Model selection
Microwave
Paremeters
Bayes
Astronomical And Space Sciences
Publication Status
Published