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  5. The elliptical ornstein-uhlenbeck process
 
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The elliptical ornstein-uhlenbeck process
File(s)
2001.05965v4.pdf (1.19 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Sykulski, Adam M
Olhede, Sofia C
Sykulska-Lawrence, Hanna M
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a
generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time
series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in
the complex plane, which are observed in many applications of coupled bivariate
time series. The appeal of the model is that elliptical oscillations are
generated using one simple first order stochastic differential equation (SDE),
whereas alternative models require more complicated vectorised or higher order
SDE representations. The second useful feature is that parameter estimation can
be performed semi-parametrically in the frequency domain using the Whittle
Likelihood. We determine properties of the model including the conditions for
stationarity, and the geometrical structure of the elliptical oscillations. We
demonstrate the utility of the model by measuring periodic and elliptical
properties of Earth's polar motion.
Date Issued
2022-07-27
Date Acceptance
2021-11-29
Citation
Statistics and its Interface, 2022, 16 (1), pp.133-146
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/98079
URL
https://www.intlpress.com/site/pub/pages/journals/items/sii/content/vols/0016/0001/a011/
DOI
10.4310/21-SII714
ISSN
1938-7989
Publisher
International Press
Start Page
133
End Page
146
Journal / Book Title
Statistics and its Interface
Volume
16
Issue
1
Identifier
http://arxiv.org/abs/2001.05965v4
Subjects
stat.ME
stat.ME
astro-ph.EP
eess.SP
physics.data-an
stat.AP
Notes
To appear in Statistics and Its Interface
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2022-07-27
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