Credit-induced boom and bust
File(s)Credit induced.pdf (1.35 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Di Maggio, Marco
Kermani, Amir
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
This paper exploits the federal preemption of national banks in 2004 from local laws against predatory lending to gauge the effect of the supply of credit on the real economy. First, the preemption regulation resulted in an 11% increase in annual lending in the 2004–2006 period, which is associated with a 3.3% rise in annual house price growth rate and a 2.2% expansion of employment in nontradable sectors. This was followed by a sharp decline in subsequent years. Furthermore, we show that the increase in the supply of credit reduced delinquencies during boom years, but increased them in bust years.
Date Issued
2017-11
Date Acceptance
2016-12-22
Citation
The Review of Financial Studies, 2017, 30 (11), pp.3711-3758
ISSN
0893-9454
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Start Page
3711
End Page
3758
Journal / Book Title
The Review of Financial Studies
Volume
30
Issue
11
Copyright Statement
Copyright © 2017 Oxford University Press. This is a pre-copy-editing, author-produced version of an article accepted for publication in The Review of Financial Studies following peer review. The definitive publisher-authenticated version Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani, Credit-Induced Boom and Bust, The Review of Financial Studies, Volume 30, Issue 11, November 2017, Pages 3711–3758 is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhx056
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhx056
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2017-06-30