A machine learning approach for generating and evaluating forecasts on the environmental impact of the buildings sector
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The building sector has traditionally accounted for about 40% of global energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, as compared to other end-use sectors. Due to this fact, as part of the global effort towards decarbonization, significant resources have been placed on the development of technologies, such as active buildings, in an attempt to achieve reductions in the respective CO2 emissions. Given the uncertainty around the future level of the corresponding CO2 emissions, this work presents an approach based on machine learning to generate forecasts until the year 2050. Several algorithms, such as linear regression, ARIMA, and shallow and deep neural networks, can be used with this approach. In this context, forecasts are produced for different regions across the world, including Brazil, India, China, South Africa, the United States, Great Britain, the world average, and the European Union. Finally, an extensive sensitivity analysis on hyperparameter values as well as the application of a wide variety of metrics are used for evaluating the algorithmic performance.
Date Issued
2023-03
Date Acceptance
2023-03-20
Citation
Energies, 2023, 16 (6), pp.1-37
ISSN
1996-1073
Publisher
MDPI AG
Start Page
1
End Page
37
Journal / Book Title
Energies
Volume
16
Issue
6
Copyright Statement
© 2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
License URL
Identifier
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/6/2915
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
2915
Date Publish Online
2023-03-22