Strategic retail pricing and demand bidding of retailers in electricity market: a data-driven chance-constrained programming
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Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
This paper proposes a novel bi-level optimization model to study the strategic retail pricing and demand bidding problems of an electricity retailer that considers the interactions between demand response and market clearing process. In order to accurately forecast the day-ahead demand bids submitted by the retailer, a novel deep learning framework based on convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory is proposed that can capture both local trends and long-term dependency of the forecasting data. In addition, uncertainties about the retailer’s served demand, rivals’ demand bids, and wind power generation are incorporated using the data-driven uncertainty set constructed from data. We further propose chance-constrained programming that introduces a set of chance constraints to represent the operational risk associated with the market uncertainties. To solve this problem, we first reformulate chance-constrained programming as a tractable second-order conic programming and then convert it into a single-level mathematical program with equilibrium constraints by using its Karush Kuhn Tucker conditions. The scope of the examined case studies is four-fold. First, they evaluate the benefits of the proposed forecasting framework in terms of higher accuracy and expected profit compared to the conventional forecasting methods. Second, they demonstrate how demand flexibility affects the retailer’s strategies and its business cases. Third, they highlight the added value of the proposed bi-level model capturing the market clearing process by comparing its outcomes against the state-of-the-art bi-level model with exogenous market prices. Finally, they analyze the retailer’s strategies and business cases at different confidence levels regarding the imposed chance constraints.
Date Issued
2022-09-01
Date Acceptance
2022-07-02
Citation
Advances in Applied Energy, 2022, 7
ISSN
2666-7924
Publisher
Elsevier
Journal / Book Title
Advances in Applied Energy
Volume
7
Copyright Statement
© 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Identifier
https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:001022700700004&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=a2bf6146997ec60c407a63945d4e92bb
Subjects
BENEFITS
Bi-level optimization problem
Chance-constrained programming
Deep learning
Demand response
Electricity retailer
Energy & Fuels
FRAMEWORK
MANAGEMENT
MODEL
OPTIMIZATION
Science & Technology
Technology
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
100100
Date Publish Online
2022-08-10