Mapping HIV prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2017
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Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
HIV/AIDS is a leading cause of disease burden in sub-Saharan Africa. Existing evidence has demonstrated that there is substantial local variation in the prevalence of HIV; however, subnational variation has not been investigated at a high spatial resolution across the continent. Here we explore within-country variation at a 5 × 5-km resolution in sub-Saharan Africa by estimating the prevalence of HIV among adults (aged 15-49 years) and the corresponding number of people living with HIV from 2000 to 2017. Our analysis reveals substantial within-country variation in the prevalence of HIV throughout sub-Saharan Africa and local differences in both the direction and rate of change in HIV prevalence between 2000 and 2017, highlighting the degree to which important local differences are masked when examining trends at the country level. These fine-scale estimates of HIV prevalence across space and time provide an important tool for precisely targeting the interventions that are necessary to bringing HIV infections under control in sub-Saharan Africa.
Date Issued
2019-06-13
Date Acceptance
2019-04-10
Citation
Nature, 2019, 570 (7760), pp.189-193
ISSN
0028-0836
Publisher
Nature Research
Start Page
189
End Page
193
Journal / Book Title
Nature
Volume
570
Issue
7760
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2019. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
License URL
Sponsor
National Institutes of Health
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31092927
Grant Number
1R03AI125001-01A1
Subjects
Science & Technology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Science & Technology - Other Topics
POPULATION-BASED SURVEYS
ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY
SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS
GLOBAL BURDEN
195 COUNTRIES
MORTALITY
HIV/AIDS
SEX
SURVEILLANCE
TERRITORIES
General Science & Technology
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Date Publish Online
2019-05-15