Combining modifiable risk factors and risk of dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis
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Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To systematically review the literature relating to the impact of multiple co-occurring modifiable risk factors for cognitive decline and dementia. DESIGN: A systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature relating to the impact of co-occurring key risk factors for incident cognitive decline and dementia. All abstracts and full text were screened independently by two reviewers and each article assessed for bias using a standard checklist. A fixed effects meta-analysis was undertaken. DATA SOURCES: Databases Medline, Embase and PsycINFO were searched from 1999 to 2017. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: For inclusion articles were required to report longitudinal data from participants free of cognitive decline at baseline, with formal assessment of cognitive function or dementia during follow-up, and an aim to examine the impact of additive or clustered comorbid risk factor burden in with two or more core modifiable risk factors. RESULTS: Seventy-nine full-text articles were examined. Twenty-two articles (18 studies) were included reporting data on >40 000 participants. Included studies consistently reported an increased risk associated with greater numbers of intraindividual risk factors or unhealthy behaviours and the opposite for healthy or protective behaviours. A meta-analysis of studies with dementia outcomes resulted in a pooled relative risk for dementia of 1.20 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.39) for one risk factor, 1.65 (95% CI 1.40 to 1.94) for two and 2.21 (95% CI 1.78 to 2.73) for three or more, relative to no risk factors. Limitations include dependence on published results and variations in study outcome, cognitive assessment, length of follow-up and definition of risk factor exposure. CONCLUSIONS: The strength of the reported associations, the consistency across studies and the suggestion of a dose response supports a need to keep modifiable risk factor exposure to a minimum and to avoid exposure to additional modifiable risks. Further research is needed to establish whether particular combinations of risk factors confer greater risk than others. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: 42016052914.
Date Issued
2019-01
Date Acceptance
2018-11-15
Citation
BMJ Open, 2019, 9 (1)
ISSN
2044-6055
Publisher
BMJ Journals
Journal / Book Title
BMJ Open
Volume
9
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2019 The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30782689
PII: bmjopen-2018-022846
Subjects
clustering
cognitive decline
dementia
risk factors
scores
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Article Number
e022846
Date Publish Online
2019-01-25