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  5. Air transport and economic growth: a review of the impact mechanism and causal relationships
 
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Air transport and economic growth: a review of the impact mechanism and causal relationships
File(s)
TR_R2_201911.pdf (403.74 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Zhang, Fangni
Graham, Daniel J
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The impacts of air transport on the economy arise both directly, via activity in the aviation sector; and indirectly, via increased spending and wider economic benefits associated with improved access to resources, markets, technology and economic mass. Economic activity, in turn, supports and generates demand for air transport. Despite its potential importance, the reciprocal nature of the causal relationship between air transport and economic performance has remained somewhat understudied. This paper provides a synthesis review of the channels the aviation sector interacts with regional economy. The review focuses on quantitative studies that contribute to the state-of-the-art understandings of the causality. We find that the reciprocal causal relationship is more likely to prevail in less developed economies. For more developed economies, only one direction of the causality is recognised, which runs from air transport to economic growth. Especially substantial is the effect of airline enplanement on service-related employment. The reverse direction of the relationship is, however, not as significant as believed in a causal sense within the developed world. Therefore, cautions need to be taken when applying income elasticities (such as the elasticity of air passenger demand with respect to GDP) in air travel demand forecasting, which implicitly assumes that economic growth causally leads to air traffic increment. Based on the fundamental links between air transport and economic growth, some typical imperfections and inefficiencies in aviation markets are discussed and promising avenues for future research are proposed.
Date Issued
2020-04-01
Date Acceptance
2020-02-27
Citation
Transport Reviews, 2020, 40 (4), pp.506-528
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/77413
URL
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01441647.2020.1738587
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1738587
ISSN
0144-1647
Publisher
Informa UK Limited
Start Page
506
End Page
528
Journal / Book Title
Transport Reviews
Volume
40
Issue
4
Copyright Statement
© 2020 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Transport Review on 13 March 2020, available online: https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1738587
Sponsor
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Identifier
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01441647.2020.1738587
Grant Number
EP/M027988/1
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Transportation
Air transport
economic growth
reciprocal causality
market imperfections
literature review
HIGH-SPEED RAIL
INCOME ELASTICITIES
PRICE ELASTICITIES
EMPIRICAL-EVIDENCE
AIRPORTS
PASSENGER
DEMAND
AIRLINES
TOURISM
INFRASTRUCTURE
Logistics & Transportation
1205 Urban and Regional Planning
1507 Transportation and Freight Services
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2020-03-13
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