The ins and outs of selling houses: understanding housing‐market volatility
Author(s)
Ngai, L Rachel
Sheedy, Kevin D
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
This article documents the role of inflows (new listings) and outflows (sales) in explaining the volatility and comovement of housing-market variables. An “ins versus outs” decomposition shows that both flows are quantitatively important for housing-market volatility. The correlations between sales, prices, new listings, and time-to-sell are stable over time, whereas the signs of their correlations with houses for sale are found to be time-varying. A calibrated search-and-matching model with endogenous inflows and outflows and shocks to housing demand matches many of the stable correlations and predicts that the correlations with houses for sale depend on the source and persistence of shocks.
Date Issued
2024-08-01
Date Acceptance
2023-11-13
Citation
International Economic Review, 2024, 65 (3), pp.1415-1440
ISSN
0020-6598
Publisher
Wiley
Start Page
1415
End Page
1440
Journal / Book Title
International Economic Review
Volume
65
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© 2024 The Authors. International Economic Review published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of the Economics Department of the University of Pennsylvania and the Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/iere.12693
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2024-03-05