Characterizing the variability and meteorological drivers of wind power and solar power generation over Africa
Author(s)
Bloomfield, Hannah C
Wainwright, Caroline M
Mitchell, Nick
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has the lowest energy access rates in the world, which poses a key barrier to power system development. Deployment of renewables, including wind and solar power, will play a key role in expanding electricity supply across SSA: distributed generation (enabling access for remote communities), cost-effectiveness and low emissions are key advantages. However, renewable generation is weather dependent; therefore, including more renewables increases the amount of meteorologically driven variability in the power system. Two countries in SSA are chosen for detailed investigation of this meteorologically driven variability: Senegal in West Africa and Kenya in East Africa. These are chosen due to being areas of dense population, where there is operational wind and solar power, and plans for regional expansion. In Senegal, solar generation is fairly consistent throughout the year, while wind generation exhibits strong seasonality, with a peak in the boreal spring. Low wind and solar power generation days during the boreal summer are found to be related to the passage of African Easterly Waves. Over Kenya, both wind and solar generation exhibit seasonal variability, with wind generation peaking during boreal autumn, and solar generation at a minimum during boreal summer. Inter-annual variability in generation is greater over Kenya than over Senegal; the El Nino Southern Oscillation is found to impact wind and solar generation over Kenya. El Nino phases are associated with lower wind and solar generation in October–December over Kenya, but higher generation in July–September. This improved understanding of variability will assist system planners in designing reliable future energy systems.
Date Issued
2022-09-01
Date Acceptance
2022-08-15
Citation
Meteorological Applications, 2022, 29 (5), pp.1-19
ISSN
1350-4827
Publisher
Royal Meteorological Society
Start Page
1
End Page
19
Journal / Book Title
Meteorological Applications
Volume
29
Issue
5
Copyright Statement
© 2022 The Authors. Meteorological Applications published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Royal Meteorological Society.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
License URL
Identifier
https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000865644900001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Africa
climate variability
grid management
renewable energy
solar power
wind power
RENEWABLE ENERGY
EASTERLY WAVES
CLIMATE-CHANGE
PART I
ENSO
PREDICTION
PERFORMANCE
FORECASTS
RAINFALL
SENEGAL
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN e2093
Date Publish Online
2022-10-10