Associations between urban metrics and mortality rates in England
Author(s)
Fecht, D
Fortunato, L
Morley, D
Hansell, A
Gulliver, J
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background
Seventy-five percent of the population in Europe live in urban areas and analysing the effects
of urban form on the health of the urban population is of great public health interest. Not
much is known, however, on the effects of urban form on the health of city dwellers. This
study uses a novel approach to investigate whether associations exist between different
measures of urban form and mortality risks in cities in England.
Methods
We conducted an ecological, cross-sectional study for urban areas in England with more than
100,000 residents (n = 50) and included all registered premature deaths (<65 years) between
1
st January 2002 and 31th December 2009. To describe and categorise urban form we
quantified the distribution and density of population, land cover and transport networks and
measures of geographical characteristics. We used Poisson regression models to examine
associations between the measures of urban form and age-standardised risks of deaths from
all causes, cardiovascular disease, and traffic accidents after adjustment for socioeconomic
status and smoking. Analysis was stratified by gender to explore differential associations
between females and males.
Results
There were a total of 200,200 premature deaths during the study period (Females: 37%;
Males: 63%). Transport network patterns were associated with overall and cardiovascular
mortality rates in cities. We saw 12% higher mortality risk after adjustment in cities with high
junction density compared to cities with low density [Females: RR 1.12 (95% CI 1.10 –
1.15); Males: RR 1.12 (95% CI 1.10 -1.14)]; the risk was slightly higher for cardiovascular
mortality [Females: RR 1.16 (95% CI 1.10 – 1.22); Males: RR 1.12 (95% CI 1.09 – 1.16)].
Associations between mortality and population patterns were of similar magnitude [Females:
3
RR 1.10 (95% CI 1.09 – 1.13); Males: RR 1.09 (95% CI 1.07 -1.10)]; associations between
mortality and land cover patterns were inconclusive.
Conclusions
We found an association between transport patterns and risk of premature mortality.
Associations between urban form and mortality observed in this study suggest that
characteristics of city structure might have negative effects on the overall health of urban
communities. Future urban planning and regeneration strategies can benefit from such
knowledge to promote a healthy living environment for an increasing urban population.
Seventy-five percent of the population in Europe live in urban areas and analysing the effects
of urban form on the health of the urban population is of great public health interest. Not
much is known, however, on the effects of urban form on the health of city dwellers. This
study uses a novel approach to investigate whether associations exist between different
measures of urban form and mortality risks in cities in England.
Methods
We conducted an ecological, cross-sectional study for urban areas in England with more than
100,000 residents (n = 50) and included all registered premature deaths (<65 years) between
1
st January 2002 and 31th December 2009. To describe and categorise urban form we
quantified the distribution and density of population, land cover and transport networks and
measures of geographical characteristics. We used Poisson regression models to examine
associations between the measures of urban form and age-standardised risks of deaths from
all causes, cardiovascular disease, and traffic accidents after adjustment for socioeconomic
status and smoking. Analysis was stratified by gender to explore differential associations
between females and males.
Results
There were a total of 200,200 premature deaths during the study period (Females: 37%;
Males: 63%). Transport network patterns were associated with overall and cardiovascular
mortality rates in cities. We saw 12% higher mortality risk after adjustment in cities with high
junction density compared to cities with low density [Females: RR 1.12 (95% CI 1.10 –
1.15); Males: RR 1.12 (95% CI 1.10 -1.14)]; the risk was slightly higher for cardiovascular
mortality [Females: RR 1.16 (95% CI 1.10 – 1.22); Males: RR 1.12 (95% CI 1.09 – 1.16)].
Associations between mortality and population patterns were of similar magnitude [Females:
3
RR 1.10 (95% CI 1.09 – 1.13); Males: RR 1.09 (95% CI 1.07 -1.10)]; associations between
mortality and land cover patterns were inconclusive.
Conclusions
We found an association between transport patterns and risk of premature mortality.
Associations between urban form and mortality observed in this study suggest that
characteristics of city structure might have negative effects on the overall health of urban
communities. Future urban planning and regeneration strategies can benefit from such
knowledge to promote a healthy living environment for an increasing urban population.
Date Issued
2016-03-08
Date Acceptance
2015-12-09
Citation
Environmental Health, 2016, 15 (Suppl 1)
ISSN
1832-3367
Publisher
BioMed Central
Journal / Book Title
Environmental Health
Volume
15
Issue
Suppl 1
Copyright Statement
© 2016 Fecht et al. Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and
reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to
the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver
(http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.
International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and
reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to
the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver
(http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.
License URL
Sponsor
Public Health England
Grant Number
N/A
Subjects
Toxicology
05 Environmental Sciences
06 Biological Sciences
11 Medical And Health Sciences
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
34