Infinite-dimensional linear programming and model-independent hedging of contingent claims
File(s)
Author(s)
Badikov, Sergey
Type
Thesis
Abstract
We consider model-independent pathwise hedging of contingent claims in
discrete-time markets, in the framework of infinite-dimensional linear programmes
(LP). The dual problem can be formulated as optimization over
the set of martingale measures subject to market constraints. Absence of
model-independent arbitrage plays a crucial role in ensuring that both the
primal and the dual problems are well posed and there is no duality gap.
In fact we show that different notions of model-independent arbitrage are
required to prove duality results in various settings. We then specialize this
duality theory to the situation where European Call options are traded on
the market. In particular we consider hedging portfolios that consist of static
positions in traded options and a dynamic trading strategy. The dual variables
are then constrained to martingale measures consistent with prices of
traded options. When only finitely many Call options are traded, the notion
of weak arbitrage introduced in Davis and Hobson (2007) is sufficient to ensure
absence of duality gap between the primal and the dual problems. In
this case the set of feasible dual variables is not closed, and extrapolation of
Call option prices (equivalently of the implied volatility smile) is required.
We finally provide numerical examples to support our theoretical claims.
By discretizing the infinite-dimensional LPs, we compute arbitrage-free price
bounds for Forward-Start options. We further perform a sensitivity analysis
of the aforementioned extrapolation and find that in the case of Forward-
Start options it does not significantly influence arbitrage bounds obtained by
numerically solving discretized problems.
discrete-time markets, in the framework of infinite-dimensional linear programmes
(LP). The dual problem can be formulated as optimization over
the set of martingale measures subject to market constraints. Absence of
model-independent arbitrage plays a crucial role in ensuring that both the
primal and the dual problems are well posed and there is no duality gap.
In fact we show that different notions of model-independent arbitrage are
required to prove duality results in various settings. We then specialize this
duality theory to the situation where European Call options are traded on
the market. In particular we consider hedging portfolios that consist of static
positions in traded options and a dynamic trading strategy. The dual variables
are then constrained to martingale measures consistent with prices of
traded options. When only finitely many Call options are traded, the notion
of weak arbitrage introduced in Davis and Hobson (2007) is sufficient to ensure
absence of duality gap between the primal and the dual problems. In
this case the set of feasible dual variables is not closed, and extrapolation of
Call option prices (equivalently of the implied volatility smile) is required.
We finally provide numerical examples to support our theoretical claims.
By discretizing the infinite-dimensional LPs, we compute arbitrage-free price
bounds for Forward-Start options. We further perform a sensitivity analysis
of the aforementioned extrapolation and find that in the case of Forward-
Start options it does not significantly influence arbitrage bounds obtained by
numerically solving discretized problems.
Version
Open Access
Date Issued
2017-07
Date Awarded
2018-03
Copyright Statement
Attribution NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licence (CC BY-ND)
Advisor
Davis, Mark H.A.
Jacquier, Antoine
Publisher Department
Mathematics
Publisher Institution
Imperial College London
Qualification Level
Doctoral
Qualification Name
Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)