Queue mining for delay prediction in multi-class service processes
File(s)queue_mining_multi_class_IS_preprint_2015.pdf (802.75 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Senderovich, A
Weidlich, M
Gal, A
Mandelbaum, A
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Information systems have been widely adopted to support service processes in various domains, e.g., in the telecommunication, finance, and health sectors. Information recorded by systems during the operation of these processes provides an angle for operational process analysis, commonly referred to as process mining. In this work, we establish a queueing perspective in process mining to address the online delay prediction problem, which refers to the time that the execution of an activity for a running instance of a service process is delayed due to queueing effects. We present predictors that treat queues as first-class citizens and either enhance existing regression-based techniques for process mining or are directly grounded in queueing theory. In particular, our predictors target multi-class service processes, in which requests are classified by a type that influences their processing. Further, we introduce queue mining techniques that derive the predictors from event logs recorded by an information system during process execution. Our evaluation based on large real-world datasets, from the telecommunications and financial sectors, shows that our techniques yield accurate online predictions of case delay and drastically improve over predictors neglecting the queueing perspective.
Date Issued
2015-04-30
Date Acceptance
2015-04-30
Citation
Information Systems, 2015, 53, pp.278-295
ISSN
1873-6076
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
278
End Page
295
Journal / Book Title
Information Systems
Volume
53
Copyright Statement
© 2015, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Computer Science, Information Systems
Computer Science
Delay prediction
Process mining
Queueing theory
Queue mining
PERSPECTIVE
Information Systems
0806 Information Systems
Publication Status
Published