Impact of lifetime air pollution exposure patterns on the risk of chronic disease
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Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Long-term exposure to air pollution can lead to cardiovascular disease, metabolic syndrome, and chronic respiratory disease. However, from a lifetime perspective, the critical period of air pollution exposure in terms of health risk is unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of air pollution exposure at different life stages. The study participants were recruited from community centers in Northern Taiwan between October 2018 and April 2021. Their annual averages for fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure were derived from a national visibility database. Lifetime PM2.5 exposures were determined using residential address information and were separated into three stages (<20, 20-40, and >40 years). We employed exponentially weighted moving averages, applying different weights to the aforementioned life stages to simulate various weighting distribution patterns. Regression models were implemented to examine associations between weighting distributions and disease risk. We applied a random forest model to compare the relative importance of the three exposure life stages. We also compared model performance by evaluating the accuracy and F1 scores (the harmonic mean of precision and recall) of late-stage (>40 years) and lifetime exposure models. Models with 89% weighting on late-stage exposure showed significant associations between PM2.5 exposure and metabolic syndrome, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease, but not gout or osteoarthritis. Lifetime exposure models showed higher precision, accuracy, and F1 scores for metabolic syndrome, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease, whereas late-stage models showed lower performance metrics for these outcomes. We conclude that exposure to high-level PM2.5 after 40 years of age may increase the risk of metabolic syndrome, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. However, models considering lifetime exposure showed higher precision, accuracy, and F1 scores and lower equal error rates than models incorporating only late-stage exposures. Future studies regarding long-term air pollution modelling are required considering lifelong exposure pattern.
Date Issued
2023-07-15
Date Acceptance
2023-04-18
Citation
Environmental Research, 2023, 229, pp.1-9
ISSN
0013-9351
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
1
End Page
9
Journal / Book Title
Environmental Research
Volume
229
Copyright Statement
© 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37084949
PII: S0013-9351(23)00749-1
Subjects
Air pollution
Cardiovascular disease
Fine particulate matter
Metabolic syndrome
Respiratory disease
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
Netherlands
Article Number
115957
Date Publish Online
2023-04-20