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  4. The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015
 
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The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015
File(s)
The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015.pdf (2.54 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Bhatt, S
Weiss, DJ
Cameron, E
Bisanzio, D
Mappin, B
more
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Since the year 2000, a concerted campaign against malaria has led to unprecedented levels of intervention coverage across sub-Saharan Africa. Understanding the effect of this control effort is vital to inform future control planning. However, the effect of malaria interventions across the varied epidemiological settings of Africa remains poorly understood owing to the absence of reliable surveillance data and the simplistic approaches underlying current disease estimates. Here we link a large database of malaria field surveys with detailed reconstructions of changing intervention coverage to directly evaluate trends from 2000 to 2015, and quantify the attributable effect of malaria disease control efforts. We found that Plasmodium falciparum infection prevalence in endemic Africa halved and the incidence of clinical disease fell by 40% between 2000 and 2015. We estimate that interventions have averted 663 (542–753 credible interval) million clinical cases since 2000. Insecticide-treated nets, the most widespread intervention, were by far the largest contributor (68% of cases averted). Although still below target levels, current malaria interventions have substantially reduced malaria disease incidence across the continent. Increasing access to these interventions, and maintaining their effectiveness in the face of insecticide and drug resistance, should form a cornerstone of post-2015 control strategies.
Date Issued
2015-10-08
Date Acceptance
2015-09-01
Citation
Nature, 2015, 526 (7572), pp.207-211
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/49233
URL
https://www.nature.com/articles/nature15535
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature15535
ISSN
0028-0836
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group
Start Page
207
End Page
211
Journal / Book Title
Nature
Volume
526
Issue
7572
Copyright Statement
© 2015 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
Sponsor
Medical Research Council (MRC)
Medical Research Council (MRC)
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000362399000037&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Grant Number
G1002284
MR/K010174/1B
Subjects
Science & Technology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Science & Technology - Other Topics
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
TEMPORAL ANALYSIS
PARASITE RATE
DISEASE
BURDEN
IMPACT
ENDEMICITY
INFECTION
RISK
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2015-09-16
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