The dependence of tropical cyclone pressure tendency on size
Author(s)
Sparks, Nathan
Toumi, Ralf
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Current theories of tropical cyclone (TC) intensification give little direct indication of the role of the TC size in intensity changes, although there are observations showing a relationship. We develop a new model of TC central pressure tendency where the pressure change can be expressed as exponential with a time constant determined by the ratio of radius maximum wind (Rmax) and the column inflow or outflow speed. An analysis of observations confirms the relationship which becomes more important for a larger pressure tendency and suggests an upper bound on pressure tendency for a given Rmax. The dependence of the pressure tendency on size poses a challenging constraint on the accurate forecasting of TCs in numerical weather prediction and climate models.
Date Issued
2022-10-16
Date Acceptance
2022-09-29
Citation
Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, 49 (19)
ISSN
0094-8276
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
Journal / Book Title
Geophysical Research Letters
Volume
49
Issue
19
Copyright Statement
© 2022. The Authors.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
License URL
Identifier
https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000865981800001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=a2bf6146997ec60c407a63945d4e92bb
Subjects
analytical model
decay
Geology
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
intensification
INTENSITY
MODEL
Physical Sciences
prediction
pressure
Science & Technology
tropical cyclone
WIND
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
e2022GL098926
Date Publish Online
2022-10-10