Personalized federated learning with cost-oriented load forecasting for home energy management systems
Author(s)
Barja-Martinez, Sara
Teng, Fei
Junyent-Ferré, Adrià
Aragüés-Peñalba, Mònica
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Accurate day-ahead demand forecasting is crucial for optimizing the performance of home energy management systems. Traditional forecasting methods often decouple the forecasting task and the subsequent decision marking, resulting in imbalanced economic penalties from load deviations. Furthermore, the rise of digitization has led to a massive increase in fine-grained smart meter data stored daily, posing significant challenges to customers' data privacy and security. To address these technical challenges, this study proposes a personalized federated learning methodology that incorporates a cost-oriented loss function. This methodology is designed to learn end-user-specific patterns, reduce penalization costs, and preserve customer privacy. Comparative analyses reveal that the proposed method, which utilizes a cost-oriented loss function and L2 regularization, outperforms traditional symmetric loss functions in terms of efficiency and economic benefits. The results confirm that this personalized federated learning approach consistently achieves the lowest error rates and penalization costs compared to other methods. Additionally, sensitivity analyses indicate that even households with limited historical consumption data can achieve accurate load predictions using the personalized federated learning approach.
Date Issued
2025-01-01
Date Acceptance
2024-07-29
Citation
IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications, 2025, 61 (1), pp.1410-1419
ISSN
0093-9994
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Start Page
1410
End Page
1419
Journal / Book Title
IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications
Volume
61
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. For more information, see https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License URL
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/tia.2024.3462668
Subjects
Cost-oriented
imbalances
privacy preservation
federated learning
load forecasting
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2024-09-17