20 Risk factors for admission at three, urban emergency departments in england: a cross-sectional analysis of attendances over one month
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Published version
Author(s)
Pope, I
Ismail, SA
McCoy, D
Harris, T
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Objective To investigate factors associated with unscheduled admission following presentation to emergency departments (EDs) at three hospitals in England. Design and setting Cross-sectional analysis of attendance data for patients from three urban EDs in England: a large teaching hospital and major trauma centre (site 1) and two district general hospitals (sites 2 and 3). Variables included patient age, gender, ethnicity, deprivation score, arrival date and time, arrival by ambulance or otherwise, a variety of ED workload measures, inpatient bed occupancy rates and admission outcome. Coding inconsistencies in routine ED data used for this study meant that diagnosis could not be included. Outcome measure The primary outcome for the study was unscheduled admission. Participants All adults aged 16 and older attending the three inner London EDs in December 2013. Data on 19 734 unique patient attendances were gathered. Results Outcome data were available for 19 721 attendances (>99%), of whom 6263 (32%) were admitted to hospital. Site 1 was set as the baseline site for analysis of admission risk. Risk of admission was significantly greater at sites 2 and 3 (adjusted OR (AOR) relative to site 1 for site 2 was 1.89, 95% CI 1.74 to 2.05, p<0.001) and for patients of black or black British ethnicity (AOR 1.29, 1.16 to 1.44, p<0.001). Deprivation was strongly associated with admission. Analysis of departmental and hospital-wide workload pressures gave conflicting results, but proximity to the “4-hour target” (a rule that limits patient stays in EDs to 4 hours in the National Health Service in England) emerged as a strong driver for admission in this analysis (AOR 3.61, 95% CI 3.30 to 3.95, p<0.001). Conclusion This study found statistically significant variations in odds of admission between hospital sites when adjusting for various patient demographic and presentation factors, suggesting important variations in ED-level and clinician-level behaviour relating to admission decisions. The 4-hour target is a strong driver for emergency admission.
Date Issued
2017-11-23
Date Acceptance
2017-11-01
Citation
Emergency Medicine Journal, 2017, 34, pp.A875-A875
ISSN
1472-0205
Publisher
BMJ Publishing Group
Start Page
A875
End Page
A875
Journal / Book Title
Emergency Medicine Journal
Volume
34
Issue
6
Copyright Statement
© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2017. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.
This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Identifier
http://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/7/6/e011547.long
Subjects
1103 Clinical Sciences
1110 Nursing
1117 Public Health And Health Services
Emergency & Critical Care Medicine
Publication Status
Published
OA Location
http://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/7/6/e011547
Article Number
e011547