Comparison of surveillance-based metrics for the assessment and monitoring of disease detection: simulation study about type 2 diabetes
Author(s)
Brinks, Ralph
Hoyer, Annika
Rolka, Deborah B
Kuss, Oliver
Gregg, Edward W
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background
Screening and detection of cases are a common public health priority for treatable chronic conditions with long subclinical periods. However, the validity of commonly-used metrics from surveillance systems for rates of detection (or case-finding) have not been evaluated.
Methods
Using data from a Danish diabetes register and a recently developed illness-death model of chronic diseases with subclinical conditions, we simulate two scenarios of different performance of case-finding. We report different epidemiological indices to assess case-finding in both scenarios and compare the validity of the results.
Results
The commonly used ratio of detected cases over total cases may lead to misleading conclusions. Instead, the ratio of undetected cases over persons without a diagnosis is a more valid index to distinguish the quality of case-finding. However, incidence-based measures are preferable to prevalence based indicators.
Conclusion
Prevalence-based indices for assessing case-finding should be interpreted with caution. If possible, incidence-based indices should be preferred.
Screening and detection of cases are a common public health priority for treatable chronic conditions with long subclinical periods. However, the validity of commonly-used metrics from surveillance systems for rates of detection (or case-finding) have not been evaluated.
Methods
Using data from a Danish diabetes register and a recently developed illness-death model of chronic diseases with subclinical conditions, we simulate two scenarios of different performance of case-finding. We report different epidemiological indices to assess case-finding in both scenarios and compare the validity of the results.
Results
The commonly used ratio of detected cases over total cases may lead to misleading conclusions. Instead, the ratio of undetected cases over persons without a diagnosis is a more valid index to distinguish the quality of case-finding. However, incidence-based measures are preferable to prevalence based indicators.
Conclusion
Prevalence-based indices for assessing case-finding should be interpreted with caution. If possible, incidence-based indices should be preferred.
Date Issued
2017-04-11
Date Acceptance
2017-03-23
Citation
BMC Medical Research Methodology, 2017, 17
ISSN
1471-2288
Publisher
BioMed Central
Journal / Book Title
BMC Medical Research Methodology
Volume
17
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s). 2017 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and
reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the
Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver
(http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.
International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and
reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the
Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver
(http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000398774800001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Health Care Sciences & Services
Compartment model
Incidence
Prevalence
Diabetes
Chronic disease
Undiagnosed disease
Case-finding
Screening
PREVALENCE
TRENDS
HYPERTENSION
MORTALITY
ADULTS
HEALTH
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
54
Date Publish Online
2017-04-11