Assessment of simulated aerosol effective radiative forcings in the terrestrial spectrum
File(s)Heyn_et_al-2017-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf (241.74 KB)
Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
In its fifth assessment report (AR5), the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change provides a best estimate of the effective radiative forcing (ERF) due to anthropogenic aerosol at −0.9 W m−2. This value is considerably weaker than the estimate of −1.2 W m−2 in AR4. A part of the difference can be explained by an offset of +0.2 W m−2 which AR5 added to all published estimates that only considered the solar spectrum, in order to account for adjustments in the terrestrial spectrum. We find that, in the CMIP5 multimodel median, the ERF in the terrestrial spectrum is small, unless microphysical effects on ice- and mixed-phase clouds are parameterized. In the latter case it is large but accompanied by a very strong ERF in the solar spectrum. The total adjustments can be separated into microphysical adjustments (aerosol “effects”) and thermodynamic adjustments. Using a kernel technique, we quantify the latter and find that the rapid thermodynamic adjustments of water vapor and temperature profiles are small. Observation-based constraints on these model results are urgently needed.
Date Issued
2017-01-27
Date Acceptance
2017-01-04
Citation
Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, 44 (2), pp.1001-1007
ISSN
1944-8007
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Start Page
1001
End Page
1007
Journal / Book Title
Geophysical Research Letters
Volume
44
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© 2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
Subjects
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Geology
aerosol effective radiative forcing
cloud adjustments
thermodynamic adjustments
GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL
MIXED-PHASE CLOUDS
CONVECTIVE CLOUDS
ANTHROPOGENIC AEROSOLS
STRATIFORM CLOUDS
SATELLITE DATA
SENSITIVITY
MICROPHYSICS
POLLUTION
IMPACTS
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
MD Multidisciplinary
Publication Status
Published