An objective-based scenario selection method for transmission network expansion planning with multivariate stochasticity in load and renewable energy sources
File(s)1-s2.0-S0360544217321977-main.pdf (2.09 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Sun, M
Teng, Fei
Konstantelos, Ioannis
Strbac, Goran
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Transmission Network Expansion Planning (TNEP) in modern electricity systems is carried out on a cost-benefit analysis basis; the planner identifies investments that maximize the social welfare. As the integration of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) increases, there is a real challenge to accurately capture the vast variability that characterizes system operation within a planning problem. Conventional approaches that rely on a large number of scenarios for representing the variability of operating points can quickly lead to computational issues. An alternative approach that is becoming increasingly necessary is to select representative scenarios from the original population via clustering techniques. However, direct clustering of operating points in the input domain may not capture characteristics which are important for investment decision-making. This paper presents a novel objective-based scenario selection framework for TNEP to obtain optimal investment decisions with a significantly reduced number of operating states. Different clustering frameworks, clustering variable s and clustering techniques are compared to determine the most appropriate approach. The superior performance of the proposed framework is demonstrated through a case study on a modified IEEE 118-bus system.
Date Issued
2018-02-15
Date Acceptance
2017-12-30
Citation
Energy, 2018, 145 (1), pp.871-885
ISSN
0360-5442
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
871
End Page
885
Journal / Book Title
Energy
Volume
145
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2018, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Sponsor
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544217321977
Grant Number
EP/K002252/1
EP/N005996/1
EP/N005996/1
EP/E020798/1
Subjects
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Technology
Thermodynamics
Energy & Fuels
Clustering
Transmission network expansion planning
Resource variability
Wind power
MODEL
POWER
GENERATION
SYSTEMS
CLASSIFICATION
UNCERTAINTY
MANAGEMENT
ALGORITHM
DEMAND
CHINA
Energy
0913 Mechanical Engineering
0914 Resources Engineering and Extractive Metallurgy
0915 Interdisciplinary Engineering
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2018-01-05