The pass-through of uncertainty shocks to households
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Published version
Author(s)
Di Maggio, Marco
Kermani, Amir
Ramcharan, Rodney
Yao, Vincent
Yu, Edison
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Using new employer-employee matched data, this paper investigates the impact of uncertainty, as measured by idiosyncratic stock market volatility, on individual outcomes. We find that firms provide at best partial insurance to their workers. Increased firm-level uncertainty reduces total compensation, especially variable pay, and workers reduce their durable goods consumption in response. Such shocks also lead to greater financial fragility among lower-income earners. Constructing a new county-level uncertainty shock, we find that local uncertainty shocks reduce county-level durable consumption. Taken together, these findings show that uncertainty shocks can significantly affect local economic activity through households’ consumption and savings decisions.
Date Issued
2022-07
Date Acceptance
2022-03-31
Citation
Journal of Financial Economics, 2022, 145 (1), pp.85-104
ISSN
0304-405X
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
85
End Page
104
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Financial Economics
Volume
145
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
License URL
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2022.03.005
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2022-05-09