Inferential theory for generalized dynamic factor models
File(s)BHLZ_14July2022_MB.pdf (1.17 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Zaffaroni, Paolo
Hallin, Marc
Barigozzi, Matteo
Luciani, Matteo
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We provide the asymptotic distributional theory for the so-called General or Generalized Dynamic Factor Model (GDFM), laying the foundations for an inferential approach in the GDFM analysis of high-dimensional time series. By exploiting the duality between common shocks and dynamic loadings, we derive the asymptotic distribution and associated standard errors for a class of estimators for common shocks, dynamic loadings, common components, and impulse response functions. We present an empirical application aimed at constructing a “core” inflation indicator for the U.S. economy, which demonstrates the superiority of the GDFM-based indicator over the most common approaches, particularly the one based on Principal Components.
Date Issued
2024-02-01
Date Acceptance
2023-02-03
Citation
Journal of Econometrics, 2024, 239 (2)
ISSN
0304-4076
Publisher
Elsevier
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Econometrics
Volume
239
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
Copyright © Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407623000593
Publication Status
Published
Rights Embargo Date
2025-03-12
Article Number
105422
Date Publish Online
2023-03-13