Modelling carbon mitigation pathways by 2050: insights from the global calculator
File(s) GC paper in ESR - May 2020.pdf (2.28 MB)
Published version
OA Location
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The Global Calculator (GC) can be used to assess a wide range of climate change mitigation pathways. The GC is an accessible integrated model which calculates the cumulative emissions of a basket of the main greenhouse gases that result from a set of technological and lifestyle choices made at the global level and as defined by the user within a single system dynamics tool. Using the GC, we simulated ambitious scenarios against business as usual trends in order to stay below 2oC and 1.5oC of maximum temperature change by the end of this century and carried out a sensitivity analysis of the entire GC model option space. We show that the calculator is useful for making broad simulations for energy, carbon and land use dynamics, and demonstrate how combined and sustained mitigation efforts across different sectors are urgently needed to meet climate targets.
Date Issued
2020-05-13
Date Acceptance
2020-05-10
Citation
Energy Strategy Reviews, 2020, 29, pp.100494-100494
ISSN
2211-467X
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
100494
End Page
100494
Journal / Book Title
Energy Strategy Reviews
Volume
29
Copyright Statement
© 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Sponsor
European Institute of Innovation and Technology -
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/energy-strategy-reviews
Grant Number
KIC - DECC Global Calculator
Subjects
Climate Change
climate policy
energy modelling
environmental change
system dynamics
global calculator
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
100494
Date Publish Online
2020-05-13
