The exit time finite state projection scheme: bounding exit distributions and occupation measures of continuous-time Markov chains
File(s)Kuntz_ETFSP.pdf (3.23 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Kuntz, Juan
Thomas, Philipp
Stan, Guy-Bart
Barahona, Mauricio
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We introduce the exit time finite state projection (ETFSP) scheme, a truncation- based method that yields approximations to the exit distribution and occupation measure associated with the time of exit from a domain (i.e., the time of first passage to the complement of the domain) of time-homogeneous continuous-time Markov chains. We prove that: (i) the computed approximations bound the measures from below; (ii) the total variation distances between the approximations and the measures decrease monotonically as states are added to the truncation; and (iii) the scheme converges, in the sense that, as the truncation tends to the entire state space, the total variation distances tend to zero. Furthermore, we give a computable bound on the total variation distance between the exit distribution and its approximation, and we delineate the cases in which the bound is sharp. We also revisit the related finite state projection scheme and give a comprehensive account of its theoretical properties. We demonstrate the use of the ETFSP scheme by applying it to two biological examples: the computation of the first passage time associated with the expression of a gene, and the fixation times of competing species subject to demographic noise.
Date Issued
2019-03-12
Date Acceptance
2019-01-23
Citation
SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing, 2019, 41 (2), pp.A748-A769
ISSN
1064-8275
Publisher
Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
Start Page
A748
End Page
A769
Journal / Book Title
SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing
Volume
41
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© 2019 Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
Sponsor
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Commission of the European Communities
Identifier
https://epubs.siam.org/doi/abs/10.1137/18M1168261
Grant Number
EP/I017267/1
EP/N014529/1
EP/I032223/1
EP/M002187/1
766840
Subjects
math.PR
math.PR
cond-mat.stat-mech
math.OC
q-bio.MN
q-bio.PE
60J27, 60J28, 65C40, 65G20
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-03-12