Nonparametric statistical inference for drift vector fields of multi-dimensional diffusions
File(s)sdebvm_revision.pdf (539.89 KB)
Accepted version
OA Location
Author(s)
Nickl, Richard
Ray, Kolyan
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The problem of determining a periodic Lipschitz vector fieldb=(b1,...,bd) from an observed trajectory of the solution (Xt: 0≤t≤T) of the multi-dimensional stochastic differential equationdXt=b(Xt)dt+dWt, t≥0,whereWtis a standardd-dimensional Brownian motion, is consid-ered. Convergence rates of a penalised least squares estimator, whichequals the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimate corresponding to ahigh-dimensional Gaussian product prior, are derived. These resultsare deduced from corresponding contraction rates for the associatedposterior distributions. The rates obtained are optimal up to log-factors inL2-loss in any dimension, and also for supremum norm losswhend≤4. Further, whend≤3, nonparametric Bernstein-von Misestheorems are proved for the posterior distributions ofb. From this wededuce functional central limit theorems for the implied estimatorsof the invariant measureμb. The limiting Gaussian process distribu-tions have a covariance structure that is asymptotically optimal froman information-theoretic point of view.
Date Issued
2020-06-01
Date Acceptance
2019-04-12
Citation
Annals of Statistics, 2020, 48 (3), pp.1383-1408
ISSN
0090-5364
Publisher
Institute of Mathematical Statistics
Start Page
1383
End Page
1408
Journal / Book Title
Annals of Statistics
Volume
48
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2020
Identifier
https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aos/1594972822
Subjects
0102 Applied Mathematics
0104 Statistics
1403 Econometrics
Statistics & Probability
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2020-07-17