Coupling QoS co-simulation with online adaptive arrival forecasting
File(s)
Author(s)
Chen, Yichong
Roveri, Manuel
Tuli, Shreshth
Casale, Giuliano
Type
Conference Paper
Abstract
Coupled simulation, also known as co-simulation,
has been proposed to provide more information to a task scheduler by simulating at runtime the Quality of Service (QoS) arising from a scheduling action. To do so, co-simulation algorithms run the simulation assuming a static set of arrival time series, restricting the diversity of the traffic scenarios. To ensure the co-simulator can provide valuable and representative results, we present an online adaptive arrival forecasting framework that contains a change-point detection module and a probabilistic transformer model to couple co-simulators with arrival series forecasting. The framework can also update the prediction model to adapt to dynamic environments. Our experiments show that our online adaptive forecasting framework has lower forecasting errors than established prediction models, such as autoregressive processes, and lower on real-world traces the co-simulator prediction error by up to 27% on average response time and 39% on average service-level agreement (SLA) violation.
has been proposed to provide more information to a task scheduler by simulating at runtime the Quality of Service (QoS) arising from a scheduling action. To do so, co-simulation algorithms run the simulation assuming a static set of arrival time series, restricting the diversity of the traffic scenarios. To ensure the co-simulator can provide valuable and representative results, we present an online adaptive arrival forecasting framework that contains a change-point detection module and a probabilistic transformer model to couple co-simulators with arrival series forecasting. The framework can also update the prediction model to adapt to dynamic environments. Our experiments show that our online adaptive forecasting framework has lower forecasting errors than established prediction models, such as autoregressive processes, and lower on real-world traces the co-simulator prediction error by up to 27% on average response time and 39% on average service-level agreement (SLA) violation.
Date Issued
2023-11-28
Date Acceptance
2023-09-01
Citation
2023 19th International Conference on Network and Service Management (CNSM), 2023
ISBN
978-3-903176-59-1
ISSN
2165-963X
Publisher
IEEE
Journal / Book Title
2023 19th International Conference on Network and Service Management (CNSM)
Copyright Statement
Copyright © 2023 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.
Identifier
https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/abstract/document/10327805
Source
19th International Conference on Network and Service Management (CNSM 2023)
Publication Status
Published
Start Date
2023-10-30
Finish Date
2023-11-02
Coverage Spatial
Niagara Falls, Canada
Date Publish Online
2023-11-28