Living at high altitude and COVID-19 mortality in Peru
File(s)COVID_and_altitude_Peru_08_10_2021_RMCL.docx (85.71 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background: Previous studies have reported a lower severity of COVID-19 infections at higher altitudes; however, this association may be confounded by various factors. We examined the association between living at altitude and COVID-19 mortality in Peru adjusting for population density, prevalence of comorbidities, indicators of socioeconomic status, and health care access. Methods: Utilizing administrative data across 196 provinces located at varying altitudes (sea level to 4,373 m), we conducted a two-stage analysis of COVID-19 deaths between March 19 and December 31, 2020, Peru's first wave. We first calculated cumulative daily mortality rate for each province and fit lognormal cumulative distribution functions to estimate total mortality rate, and start, peak, and duration of the first wave. We then regressed province-level total mortality rate, start, peak, and duration of the first wave as a function of altitude adjusted for confounders. Results: There were 93,528 recorded deaths from COVID-19 (mean age 66.5 years, 64.5% male) for a cumulative mortality of 272.5 per 100,000 population between March 19 and December 31, 2020. We did not find a consistent monotonic trend between living at higher altitudes and estimated total mortality rate for provinces at 500 - 1,000 m (-12.1 deaths per 100,000 population per 100 m, 95% familywise confidence interval -27.7 to 3.5) or > 1,000 m (-0.3, -2.7 to 2.0). We also did not find consistent monotonic trends for the start, peak, and duration of the first wave beyond the first 500 m. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that living at high altitude may not confer a lower risk of death from COVID-19.
Date Issued
2022-04-27
Date Acceptance
2022-04-01
Citation
High Altitude Medicine and Biology, 2022, 23 (2), pp.1-1
ISSN
1527-0297
Publisher
Mary Ann Liebert
Start Page
1
End Page
1
Journal / Book Title
High Altitude Medicine and Biology
Volume
23
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© 2022, Mary Ann Liebert, Inc., publishers
Sponsor
Wellcome Trust
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35483043
Grant Number
214185/Z/18/Z
Subjects
COVID-19
high altitude
mortality
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
United States
Date Publish Online
2022-04-27