Controlling infectious disease outbreaks: Lessons from mathematical modelling.
File(s)
Author(s)
Hollingsworth, TD
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Epidemiological analysis and mathematical models are now essential tools in understanding the dynamics of infectious diseases and in designing public health strategies to contain them. They have provided fundamental concepts, such as the basic and effective reproduction number, generation times, epidemic growth rates, and the role of pre-symptomatic infectiousness, which are crucial in characterising infectious diseases. These concepts are outlined and their relevance in designing control policies for outbreaks is discussed. They are illustrated using examples from the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome outbreak, which was brought under control within a year, and from pandemic influenza planning, where mathematical models have been used extensively.
Version
Accepted version
Date Issued
2009-09
Citation
J Public Health Policy, 2009, 30 (3), pp.328-341
ISSN
0197-5897
Publisher
Palgrave Macmillan
Start Page
328
End Page
341
Journal / Book Title
J Public Health Policy
Volume
30
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© 2009 Palgrave Macmillan. This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Journal of Public Health. The definitive publisher-authenticated version : Hollingsworth T.D., Controlling infectious disease outbreaks: Lessons from mathematical modeling. Journal of Public Health Policy (2009), 30, 328–341. doi:10.1057/jphp.2009.13 at: http://www.palgrave-journals.com/jphp/journal/v30/n3/abs/jphp200913a.html
Identifier
http://scholar.google.co.uk/scholar?cluster=14020265050015827508&hl=en&as_sdt=0,5
PII: jphp200913
Source Volume Number
30
Subjects
Disease Outbreaks
Great Britain
Humans
Models, Statistical
Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Coverage Spatial
England